RCD Espanyol VS Villarreal B

Espanyol and Villarreal B lock horns in this LaLiga2 round 23 battle at Stage Front Stadium in Cornella de Llobregat early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Spanish football. The level of this league is high by European standards – for a second tier I mean. The players are full time professionals and some are even paid relatively well. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat better than average level by this league's standards. The hosts were relegated from the LaLiga to this level after a very disappointing last season. They have unarguably been a disappointment as a whole so far this season. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating as the season has progressed – seemingly more than the bookies have. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a tough match schedule. Blackpool currently occupy the 4th place in this rating. The visitors, on the other hand, are in 14th place. Espnyol currently occupy the 4th place in the standings but have been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, they would have deserved only around 32 or 33 points. They have netted the ball a fine 34 times – this is the second-highest number in this league. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 31.99. They do have a lot of firepower for this level. They have many skilled and creative offensive players. In this area of the game they have a clear edge over Villarreal B. Espanyol have conceded 24 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 25.98. This is a pretty high number for a team that are dreaming of returning to the LaLiga for next season.. They have skilled defenders by the LaLiga2 standards but their defensive structure has been far from great!

The Espanyol defence is often quite vulnerable to fast counter attacks. Interestingly, this is what Villarreal B are quite good at. I expect them to be very defensive here – even if they end up trailing by a margin of one goal. The visitors are in 18th place in the league table with 24 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is 28.12. Their offense lacks individual skill and speed to seriously challenge for a top-10 place. Villarreal B have scored 24 goals but their number of xG is only 22.96. Their defence, on the other hand, is better than the number of goals conceded (34) would suggest! Indeed, their number of xGA is 28.46. They have been in better form than the host lately. They have taken two wins, one draw and lost twice in their last five games. In their last match they lost to Cartagena SAD 1-4 away from home but the final score was very misleading. Villarreal even recorded more dangerous attacks and had 55% ball possession. The hosts generated only a little more in xG – 2.45-2.34 to be precise. Espanyol have been lame recently – failing to win any of their most recent five games and are in decline! Even so, they are of course solid favourites here but the odds of around 1.60 on them to win are way too low! We will take the visitors +1.5 goals handicap option - with a big chance of winning!

西班牙人VS比利亚雷亚尔

北京时间周日凌晨，西班牙人队和比利亚雷亚尔B队将在西甲联赛第23轮的比赛中展开较量。这是西班牙足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是很高的——我的意思是，对于一个二线球队来说。这些球员都是全职的职业球员，有些人的薪水甚至相对较高。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平更好的比赛。东道主在经历了令人失望的上个赛季后从西甲降级到这个级别。毫无疑问，这个赛季到目前为止，他们是一个令人失望的整体。因此，随着赛季的进展，我已经降低了他们的能力评级——似乎比博彩公司还低。这一排名反映了球队的纯粹级别——不包括激励因素和可能的疲劳——由紧张的赛程引起的。布莱克浦目前在这一排名中排名第四。另一方面，游客排在第14位。埃斯尼约尔目前在积分榜上排名第四，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面有些幸运。事实上，他们只应该得到32或33分。他们有34次进球，这是联赛第二高的数字。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)“只有”31.99个。他们在这个级别上确实有很多火力。他们有许多技术娴熟、富有创造力的进攻球员。在这一领域，他们明显领先于比利亚雷亚尔b队，西班牙人队丢了24球，他们的预期失球数(xGA)为25.98。对于一支梦想着下赛季重返西甲的球队来说，这是一个相当高的数字。按照西甲的标准，他们有技术娴熟的后卫，但他们的防守结构远远不够好!

西班牙人的防守常常很容易受到快速反击的攻击。有趣的是，这正是比利亚雷亚尔B所擅长的。我预计他们在这里会非常防守——即使他们最终落后一球。客队目前以24分的成绩排在联赛第18位，但他们的积分是28.12分。他们的进攻缺乏个人技术和速度来挑战前十的位置。虽然比利亚雷亚尔B队打进了24球，但他们的进球数只有22.96个。另一方面，他们的防守比丢球数(34个)所显示的要好!实际上，它们的xGA数是28.46。他们最近的状态比东道主好。在最近的5场比赛中，他们取得了2胜1平2负的战绩。在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-4输给了卡塔赫纳，但最后的比分很容易让人误解。比利亚雷亚尔甚至记录了更多的危险进攻，控球率为55%。主机在xG - 2.45-2.34中只多生成了一点。西班牙人最近的表现很差劲——最近五场比赛一场都没赢，而且正在走下坡路!即便如此，他们在这里当然是最受欢迎的，但他们赢球的几率约为1.60，这实在太低了!我们将采取客队+1.5球障碍选项-有很大的获胜机会!