Relegation fight with top value!
2024-01-19

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

01/20 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Let us start with team news and expected lineups:


Alaves miss two players due to African Cup on Nations, Moroccan defender Abqar and keeper Owono, but as he has not played even once it does not weaken the squad. Defender Sedlak is injured until the end of January. The good news is that both Abde and Carlos Vicente return from injury.

At Cadiz there is about the same situation with absentees as it has been, 5 players out, Roger, Machis, and San Emeterio being the most important ones.

The table does no justice to Alaves who currently are only 5 points ahead of Cadiz at 13th place with 20 points as the xG-table based on performances puts them at 8th, with 27 points! Have they been this unlucky? The expected goals stat gives some clue as they seem to be 9 goals behind their expected tally! Poor finishing there, but defensively the results have been about as expected.

Recently Alaves results with performance data look like this:


Apart from the silly loss v Las Palmas the results go more or less hand in hand with the performances.

At home Alaves have 4-1-4 saldo with goal difference of 10-11. Again, there is a big gap of home many home goals they should already have, and a weak opponent like Cadiz might well be just what they need!

Cadiz are in the relegation zone with 15 points, and it is a big worry, but even bigger worry is that they have won only twice this season, and both of their wins came in the first rounds of the league, now it is match day 20.

When Cadiz lose they tend to lose either without scoring, or by at least by two goals. They have lost nine matches, six of them by this handicap.

When travelling Cadiz are on their worst. All relegation zone teams are actually without a win away, but the performance data of Cadiz shows they have been the worst of the lot, their goal difference is 6-17, it could be 6-25! Keeper Ledesma has been miraculously good at times, but he can not save them every night.

Tonight Cadiz also miss half of their goals scored due to injuries. Will we see Cadiz scoring?

I strongly doubt it, good luck!




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

让我们从球队新闻和预期阵容开始:


由于非洲杯的比赛,阿拉维斯错过了两名球员,摩洛哥后卫阿巴尔和门将奥沃诺,但由于他没有参加过一次比赛,这并不会削弱球队的实力。后卫塞德拉克的伤病将持续到一月底。好消息是阿比德和卡洛斯·维森特都伤愈复出了。

在加的斯,缺阵的情况和以前差不多,5名球员缺阵,罗杰、马切斯和圣埃米特里奥是最重要的。

目前,阿拉维斯以20分的成绩仅领先加的斯5分,排在第13位,而基于表现的xg表显示,他们以27分排在第8位!他们有这么倒霉吗?预期进球数提供了一些线索,因为他们似乎比预期进球数少了9个!比赛结束时表现不佳,但防守方面的结果和预期的差不多。

最近Alaves的结果与性能数据是这样的:


除了愚蠢地输给拉斯帕尔马斯,结果或多或少与表现密切相关。

主场阿拉维斯的战绩是4-1-4,净胜球为10-11。再一次,主场的差距很大,他们应该已经有很多主场进球了,像加的斯这样的弱对手可能正是他们所需要的!

加的斯以15分处于降级区,这是一个很大的担忧,但更大的担忧是他们本赛季只赢了两场,而且他们的胜利都是在联赛的第一轮,现在是第20个比赛日。

当加的斯输球时,他们要么没有进球,要么至少输两个球。他们输了九场比赛,其中六场是由于这个不利条件。

在加的斯旅行的时候是最糟糕的。所有降级区球队实际上都没有一场客场胜利,但加的斯的表现数据显示他们是所有球队中最差的,他们的净胜球是6-17,可能是6-25!门将莱德斯马有时表现得奇迹般的好,但他不能每晚都拯救他们。

今晚加的斯也因为伤病错过了一半的进球。我们会看到加的斯进球吗?

我非常怀疑,祝你好运!


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