Atletico Madrid faced a setback in the Supercup semi-final against Real Madrid, leading twice but eventually losing 5-3 after extra time. Despite this, Atletico has an impressive home record this season, being the best home team in La Liga. They are unbeaten at home, winning nine out of ten home games, including a 3-1 victory against Real Madrid in the first meeting in La Liga.Despite their strong home performance, Atletico Madrid is not favored in the upcoming match against Real Madrid, with average odds of 2.80 for a home win in a three-way manner. The odds make a tip on Atletico Madrid's home win seem lucrative, especially considering their excellent record at the Metropolitano.Real Madrid, on the other hand, comes into the game with confidence after winning the Supercup, defeating both Atletico Madrid and Barcelona. However, they must contend with the memories of their 3-1 derby defeat against Atletico in September.

The matchup promises to be intense, as both teams have strong records this season. Atletico's home strength and Real Madrid's impressive away form set the stage for an exciting game. But there is a big value in 0.5 AH on Atletico Madrid because Real Madrid is coming without some of their very important players. There is also a fatigue as they played Barcelona few days while Atletico was resting their players. I don't believe Atletico Madrid will lose tonight.

马德里竞技在超级杯半决赛对阵皇家马德里的比赛中遭遇挫折，两次领先，但最终在加时赛中以5-3落败。尽管如此，马竞本赛季的主场战绩令人印象深刻，是西甲最好的主场球队。他们在主场保持不败，10场主场比赛中有9场获胜，其中包括在西甲联赛的首场比赛中以3-1战胜皇家马德里。尽管马德里竞技在主场表现强劲，但在即将到来的与皇马的比赛中，他们的胜算并不大，主场三赢的平均赔率为2.80。赔率使得马竞在主场的胜利看起来很有利可图，特别是考虑到他们在大都会球场的出色战绩。另一方面，在赢得超级杯，击败马竞和巴塞罗那之后，皇马充满信心地进入了比赛。然而，他们必须面对9月1 - 3输给马竞的记忆。

由于两队本赛季的战绩都很好，这场比赛注定会很激烈。马竞的主场实力和皇马令人印象深刻的客场状态为一场激动人心的比赛奠定了基础。但是对于马竞来说，0.5 AH的价值是很大的，因为皇马将失去一些非常重要的球员。在马竞让球员休息的几天里，他们和巴萨的比赛也很疲劳。我不相信马竞今晚会输。