Will the keeper decide this?
2024-01-18

Jarkko

外籍分析师

非洲杯

01/19 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

This looks like a draw to me, pretty much everything points out to an even match between two equal teams, and in fact both would be relatively happy with a draw.


Ivory Coast are at home, and it makes them as narrow favourites, but never nowhere close to 50 %, more like 40% win probability,

First round Ivory Coast won 2-0 over Guinea-Bissau, but it was more even than that. Ivory Coast were efficient, and the opponents on the other failed several times in the attack and should had scored one or two.

Nigeria ended up in a 1-1 draw with Equatorial Guinea in a surprisingly open, attacking and entertaining game. They conceded the first goal, but after the equalizer by top striker Osimhen (Napoli) they dominated fully, and also in this match the scoreline was very much wrong.

Class-wise player by player the teams are as equal as it gets. Nigeria have brilliant attacking players in Osimhen, Lookman, Iwobi, Moffi and Chukwueze, whereas the best Ivorian players are all defensive ones! It will be an interesting clash in the early-day heat between attack and defense. Ivorians are younger and less inexperienced, and it might be bad for today, good for the future.

At Nigeria the coach Peseiro knows he has a lot of attacking talent, and he fields always as many attacking players on the pitch as possible! There is however one major weakness, and it is the goalkeeper Uzoho from Cypriot club Omonia Nicosia. He is conceding goals he should not, but there is no decent backup either. I am afraid he will lose the title this time to some other team personally, with his own hands.

There are basically no team news or important changes on the injury front, but Nigeria are more likely to make some changes after their poor first-round result.


The home support is huge, yet it is also easily a distraction when things are not going well, and I expect a very difficult day for the hosts.




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来这是一场平局,几乎所有的事情都表明两支势均力敌的球队之间的比赛是势均力敌的,事实上双方都对平局比较满意。


科特迪瓦在主场,这让他们成为夺冠热门,但从来没有接近50%的胜率,更接近40%的胜率,

第一轮科特迪瓦以2比0战胜几内亚比绍,但比赛比这更精彩。科特迪瓦效率很高,而另一边的对手在进攻中多次失败,本应进一两个球。

尼日利亚以1比1战平赤道几内亚,这场比赛令人惊讶的开放、进攻和娱乐。他们丢了第一个球,但在顶级前锋奥西姆恩(那不勒斯)扳平比分后,他们完全控制了局面,而且在这场比赛中比分也非常错误。

从球员的类别来看,球队是平等的。尼日利亚拥有出色的进攻球员,如奥西姆恩、卢克曼、伊沃比、莫菲和楚克维泽,而科特迪瓦最好的球员都是防守球员!这将是一个有趣的冲突在早期的激烈进攻和防守之间。科特迪瓦人更年轻,缺乏经验,这可能对今天不利,但对未来有利。

在尼日利亚,教练佩塞罗知道他有很多进攻天赋,他总是在球场上尽可能多地派出进攻球员!然而有一个主要的弱点,那就是来自塞浦路斯尼科西亚俱乐部的门将乌佐霍。他丢了不该丢的球,但也没有像样的替补。恐怕这次他会亲手把冠军拱手让给别的球队。

基本上没有球队新闻或伤病方面的重大变化,但尼日利亚在首轮糟糕的结果后更有可能做出一些改变。


主场的支持是巨大的,但当事情进展不顺利时,主场也很容易让人分心,我预计这将是东道主非常艰难的一天。


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