In my opinion, Birmingham have excellent chances to win this game.

The first match between both teams finished with a draw 1:1 and that was very unfortunate. Birmingham conceded at 87'. Now replay at home.

Despite a poor season, Birmingham is solid in front of the home crowd as they didn't lose in 11 of 14 home league matches.

I believe Birmingham have strong motivation to win. In the league, they are without chances to play off in the Premier League or anything, but they are 7 points above the relegation zone, so for sure they are looking for a deep run in the FA Cup. They have a new coach - Tony Mowbray. He made his debut in the last round at home against Swansea. The match finished with a draw 2:2, but Birmingham played better and had higher expected goals scored number. They equalized in stopping time, so for sure, morale in the team is good. Today we will see on the pitch a very strong line up with key players like Stansfield, Miyoshi, Drameh or Long.

On the other hand, Hull's motivation is under big question mark - they are just one point behind the top6 in the league table and on Friday they are going to play a super important game on the road against other top6 contenders, Sunderland. For sure, it is the highest priority and I expect some rotation. In addition to that, Hull have enormous squad problems. Today they are without many key players, including best scorer Connolly, second-best scorer Delap, the best assistant Philogene and second-best assistant Twine. It's a huge blow and should have a very bad impact on their performance today, no doubt about that. The form is also not good - 4 losses in the last 5 league matches.

In those circumstances, I see excellent value in motivated Birmingham against depleted Hull.

在我看来，伯明翰有很好的机会赢得这场比赛。

两队的第一场比赛以1:1的平局结束，这是非常不幸的。伯明翰87分失球。现在在家里重播。

尽管本赛季表现不佳，伯明翰在主场观众面前表现稳固，他们在14场主场比赛中11场未输。

我相信伯明翰有强大的动力去赢球。在联赛中，他们没有机会在英超或其他联赛中决胜负，但他们比降级区高出7分，所以可以肯定的是，他们正在寻找足总杯的长路。他们有了一位新教练——托尼·莫布雷。他在上一轮主场对阵斯旺西的比赛中首次亮相。比赛以2:2的平局结束，但伯明翰发挥得更好，进球的预期也更高。他们在停止时间上扳平了比分，所以可以肯定的是，球队的士气很好。今天我们将在球场上看到一个非常强大的阵容，像斯坦斯菲尔德、三吉、德拉梅和朗这样的关键球员。

另一方面，赫尔城的动力是一个很大的问号——他们在联赛积分榜上只落后前6分，周五他们将在客场与另一个前6竞争者桑德兰进行一场超级重要的比赛。当然，这是最重要的，我希望有一些轮换。除此之外，赫尔城还有很多阵容问题。如今，他们缺少了许多关键球员，包括最佳得分手康诺利、第二得分手德拉普、最佳助理菲洛金和第二助理特韦恩。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响，毫无疑问。状态也不太好，最近5场联赛输了4场。

在这种情况下，我看到了充满动力的伯明翰对阵枯竭的赫尔城的巨大价值。