8/10 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-01-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

01/14 02:00

已完赛

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Quevilly Rouen Métropole VS Guingamp


Quevilly Rouen host Guingamp for this Ligue 2 battle at Stade Robert Diochon early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of French football. The level of this league is relatively high by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards. The hosts are having a disappointing season so far. They are currently in 18th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They have just 17 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is somewhat higher. However, they have, in all honesty, been a disappointment as a whole but the bookies still seem to trust them quite a lot.. Yes, they do indeed have (some) potential to improve in all areas of the game. However, the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis here.. Last season they had some luck on their side in terms of xPTS and finished in 11th place. Guingamp, on the other hand, ended up in 6th place. This season I expect to see the hosts fighting hard against relegation to the third-tier.. They have scored a decent 25 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is only 21.12. The visitors have netted the ball 24 times in Ligue 2 but their number of xG is 27.65. The Guingamp defence is very well-structured and their silly defensive mistakes do not happen often. The midfielders, too, actively take part in defending. They have allowed only 17 goals. Only Angers, who currently top the standings have conceded less goals than Guingamp – 16 to be precise. The Quevilly defence is leaky and they have allowed 29 goals. Many of their defenders lack individual skill and their defensive structure is not great to say the least.. This is the third-highest number in Ligue 2.

Yes, the home advantage is there but Quevilly do not have very good fans.. Moreover, they have won just two of the nine home games in Ligue 2 so far. Guingamp have been strong away from home this season – and especially recently! Indeed, they have lost just one of their last eight away games! This loss came on the 21st of December against Angers. 1-0 was the final score but this is misleading! Indeed, Guingamp, despite being solid underdogs in this game, recorded many more goal attempts (21-7), shots on goal, shots off goal (11-3), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes and dangerous attacks – 65-49. Moreover, they generated 2.43 in xG – Angers managed only 0.76! Before this they won four away matches in a row! Guingamp are currently in 8th place and have a good chance of making it to the Promotion Playoffs (3-5th place). They have a fine 27 points to their account and their number of xPTS is 28.77. The bookies see Guingamp as narrow favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.60 to win. This is incorrect! Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis they have a good 44% chance of taking all three points. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors are the bigger club here. Their players have an estimated total market value of about 16 million euros. This is definitely too low – 21-22 million would be a more realistic number. The Quevilly squad, on the other hand, is valued at only around 12 million which is more or less correct. In their last game the hosts lost to Feignies-Aulnoye away from home 0-1 in Coupe de France as big favourites. The hosts are a small team and play in the 4th tier! Before this they took a point away from home against Paris FC through a 1-1 draw but the hosts were the better team – recording much more in xG – 1.86-0.63 to be precise. Guingamp lost their last game 0-2 to Rennes at home but their performance as a whole was okay. Let's remember Rennes are a big team that play in the Ligue 1 and were clear favourites in this game on the betting market. It was a Coupe de France clash.



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Quevilly Rouen msamtropole VS Guingamp


北京时间周日凌晨,奎维利鲁昂将在罗伯特迪奥雄球场迎战甘冈。这是法国足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相对较高的——我的意思是对于二线球队来说。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。到目前为止,东道主这个赛季的表现令人失望。他们目前在这个联赛中排名第18位,共有20家俱乐部。他们的口袋里只有17分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要高一些。然而,老实说,他们整体上令人失望,但博彩公司似乎仍然非常信任他们。是的,他们确实在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力。然而,博彩公司似乎在这里过于强调这种潜在的方式。上赛季他们在xPTS方面运气不错,排在第11位。另一方面,甘冈排在第六位。本赛季我希望看到主队为降级而努力。他们打进了25个进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)只有21.12个。客队在法甲联赛中有24次进球,但他们的射门次数是27.65次。甘冈的防守结构非常好,他们愚蠢的防守失误很少发生。中场球员也积极参与防守。他们只丢了17个球。只有目前排名第一的愤怒队丢的球比甘甘少,准确地说是16个。奎维利的防守漏洞百出,他们丢了29个球。他们的很多防守球员缺乏个人技术,他们的防守结构也不太好。这是法甲第三高的数字。

是的,主场优势是存在的,但是奎维利没有很好的球迷。此外,到目前为止,他们在法甲的9场主场比赛中只赢了2场。甘甘本赛季在客场表现的很强势,尤其是最近!事实上,他们在最近的8场客场比赛中只输了一场!这场失利发生在12月21日对阵愤怒队的比赛中,1-0是最终比分,但这是误导!事实上,尽管甘甘在这场比赛中处于劣势,但他的进球次数(21胜7负)、射正、射偏(11胜3负)、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数和危险进攻次数(65胜49负)都更多。此外,他们在xG中产生了2.43个,而愤怒队只产生了0.76个!在此之前,他们连续四场客场获胜!甘冈目前排名第8,很有可能进入季后赛(3-5名)。他们的账户有27分的罚款,他们的xPTS数量是28.77。博彩公司认为甘甘普在这里的胜算不大,给他们的赔率约为2.60。这是不正确的!根据我以数据为基础的专家分析,他们有44%的机会获得全部三分。我们将采用+0.5目标障碍选项。我还想提一下,根据德国一家知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,客队是这里更大的俱乐部。据估计,他们的球员总市值约为1600万欧元。这个数字肯定太低了,2100万到2200万是比较现实的数字。另一方面,奎维利队的价值只有1200万左右,这或多或少是正确的。在上一场比赛中,东道主在法国杯客场0-1输给了大热门费尼耶-奥尔诺耶。主队是一支小队伍,在第四梯队比赛!在此之前,他们在客场1-1战平巴黎FC的比赛中取得了一分,但东道主表现更好,比分更高,准确地说是1.86比0.63。甘冈上一场主场0-2输给了雷恩,但他们的整体表现还不错。让我们记住雷恩是法甲的一支豪门球队,在这场比赛中是博彩市场上的热门球队。这是一场法国杯的比赛。

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