STRONG results in this league! $$$ 法乙 VS阿雅克肖
2024-01-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

01/14 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Troyes VS Ajaccio



Troyes welcome Ajaccio for this Ligue 2 round 20 battle at Stade de l'Aube early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of French football. The level of this league is pretty high by European standards – for a second tier. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. Both teams were relegated from the Ligue 1 after last season. Troyes finished in 19th place with 24 points and a score difference of 45:81. The visitors grabbed 26 points and their score difference was 23:74 – much weaker than that of Ajaccio. However, Ajaccio have played better than Troyes so far this season. Even so, the expected lineups today difference between the teams in pure class between the teams is marginal. As most of my fans know I never let the standings fool me! The hosts are currently in 16th place with 20 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 25.12. However, they have, in all honesty, been a disappointment as a whole but they do have the potential to improve in all areas of the game. They have scored more goals (21) than Ajaccio (20). The hosts' number of expected goals (xG) is 24.12. Ajaccio's xG is 21.99. In this area of the game the hosts do have an edge over Ajaccio. The Troyes's defence structure has not been as solid as it should be so far. They have conceded 24 goals and their number of expected goals (xGA) is 23.21. The Ajaccio defence has been rather solid and they have allowed only 18 goals but their number of xGA is 20.88. Ajaccio have taken 30 points so far and their xPTS is 28.56.

With the substantial home advantage the hosts deserve – according to my sophisticated expert analysis - to be the favourites here and we will take the Troyes +0.5 goals handicap – going for even more profit betting on this league! I need to mention that the Troyes fans have been frustrated at times this season but are loyal and very loud by the Ligue 2 standards!  The bookies disagree with me and see Ajaccio as favourites – offering them odds of around 2.55-2.70. I want to highlight that Ajaccio have been weak on the road in Ligue 2 so far. They have won just one of their last eight away games in Ligue 2! In their last away game they were abysmal and lost to Auxerre 0-2. They got totally dominated by the hosts! Indeed, Auxerre recorded many more goal attempts (12-1), shots on goal (3-0), corner kicks (6-2), attacks (161-83) and dangerous attacks - 65-23. Auxerre generated 1.45 in xG – Ajaccio amazingly managed only 0.02! In their last game they beat Valenciennes 2-1 at home but the visitors had 56% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Ajaccio did generate more in xG though – 0.65-0.54. Ajaccio have won two of their last five matches. Troyes's record in their last five games is three wins, one draw and one loss. I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the much bigger club. Their players have an estimated total market value of about 32 million euros. The Ajaccio squad, on the other hand, is valued at only around 12 million.. In their last game Troyes beat Versailles 3-2 in a friendly. Before this they faced Pau away from home as clear underdogs and it was a 1-1 draw after a pretty balanced game. Pau generated 1.78 in xG – Troyes managed 1.62.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

特鲁瓦VS阿雅克肖



北京时间周日凌晨,特鲁瓦欢迎阿雅克肖参加法甲第20轮在奥布球场的比赛。这是法国足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的——对于二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。上个赛季后,两支球队都从法甲降级。特鲁瓦以24分、45:81的成绩排在第19位。客队拿到了26分,他们的比分差距是23:74,比阿雅克肖弱得多。然而,本赛季到目前为止,阿雅克肖的表现比特鲁瓦要好。即便如此,今天两队之间的预期阵容在纯级别上的差异是微乎其微的。我的大多数粉丝都知道,我从不让排名欺骗我!东道主目前以20分排名第16位。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)是25.12。然而,老实说,他们整体上是令人失望的,但他们确实有潜力在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。他们的进球数(21球)比阿雅克肖(20球)多。东道主的预期进球数(xG)为24.12。阿雅克肖的xG是21.99。在这方面,东道主确实比阿雅克肖有优势。到目前为止,特鲁瓦的防御结构还没有像它应该的那样坚固。他们已经丢了24个球,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是23.21个。阿雅克肖的防守相当稳固,他们只丢了18个球,但是他们的平均进球数是20.88。阿雅克肖目前已经拿到了30分,他们的xPTS是28.56。

根据我资深的专家分析,凭借主场优势,主队理应成为最受欢迎的球队,我们将把特鲁瓦+0.5个进球的不利条件押注在这个联赛上,以获得更多的利润!我需要提到的是,特鲁瓦的球迷本赛季有时会感到沮丧,但按照法甲的标准,他们是忠诚的,而且非常大声!博彩公司不同意我的观点,他们认为阿雅克肖是最受欢迎的——他们提供了2.55-2.70的赔率。我想强调的是,阿雅克肖目前在法甲的客场表现很弱。他们在法甲的最近8场客场比赛中只赢了1场!在上一场客场比赛中,他们表现糟糕,0-2输给了欧塞尔。他们完全被东道主控制了!事实上,欧塞尔的进球次数(12胜1负)、射门次数(3胜0负)、角球次数(6胜2负)、进攻次数(161胜83负)和危险进攻次数(65胜23负)更多。欧塞尔在xG中产生了1.45,而阿雅克肖惊人地只产生了0.02!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场2-1击败了瓦朗谢纳,但客队控球率为56%,进攻和危险进攻也更多。阿雅克肖在xG中确实产生了更多- 0.65-0.54。阿雅克肖在最近的五场比赛中赢了两场。特鲁瓦队最近5场比赛的战绩是3胜1平1负。我还想提一下,根据德国一家知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主是一家更大的俱乐部。据估计,他们的球员总市值约为3200万欧元。另一方面,阿雅克肖的身价只有1200万欧元左右。在上一场友谊赛中,特鲁瓦队以3比2击败了凡尔赛队。在此之前,他们在客场面对保罗时显然处于劣势,在一场相当平衡的比赛后,他们以1-1战平。保罗在xG中获得了1.78分,特鲁瓦获得了1.62分。

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