In my opinion Villarreal have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s game.

I don’t see the guests as a worse team than Las Palmas. Obviously, a horrible season so far, but since Marcelino Garcia came to the club, Villarreal didn’t lose in 7 of the 10 matches and they lost only against teams ranked higher than Las Palmas (Real Madrid, Sociedad and Valencia).

According to the expected goals scored model, Villarreal's offensive formation is in 7th position in La Liga. According to the same model, Las Palmas have the worst offensive formation in the whole league. That should really make a huge difference today.

Las Palmas had a lot of luck so far. They conceded only 17 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should have conceded 27.3. It's a huge difference, no doubt about that.

Las Palmas today have enormous squad problems at the back. They are without key defenders Park, Coco & Araujo. In addition to that, second-choice defenders Sinkgraven, Lemos and Curbelo are also unavailable. Las Palmas have only 3 fit defenders for this game..

In those circumstances Villarreal looks like a valuable option to play.

在我看来，比利亚雷亚尔有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

我不认为客人队比拉斯帕尔马斯队差。显然，到目前为止，这是一个糟糕的赛季，但自从马塞利诺·加西亚来到俱乐部以来，比利亚雷亚尔在10场比赛中没有输掉7场比赛，他们只输掉了排名高于拉斯帕尔马斯的球队(皇家马德里，社会和瓦伦西亚)。

根据预期进球模型，比利亚雷亚尔的进攻阵型在西甲排名第七。根据同样的模型，拉斯帕尔马斯的进攻阵型是全联盟最差的。今天应该会有很大的不同。

拉斯帕尔马斯到目前为止运气还不错。他们只丢了17个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢27.3个球。这是一个巨大的差异，毫无疑问。

今天的拉斯帕尔马斯在后防线上有很大的问题。他们缺少了核心后卫朴智星、可可和阿劳霍。除此之外，第二选择后卫辛克格雷文、莱莫斯和库贝罗也无法上场。拉斯帕尔马斯在这场比赛中只有3名合适的后卫。

在这种情况下，比利亚雷亚尔看起来是一个有价值的选择。