In my opinion Central Coast has really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match.

Central Coast had a good mental advantage before this game as they didn’t lose against Melbourne Victory in the last 5 home matches.

Still it is not confirmed who is doubtful, who is unavailable, but Melbourne Victory had problems with an illness that ran through the squad in recent days. For sure the team is not in the best possible shape.

After 11 rounds, Melbourne Victory is the leader of the table. Central Coast is 5 places below, but that really shouldn’t look like that. Melbourne Victory scored 24 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should have scored 20. Central Coast scored 22 goals, but according to the same model they should have scored 21.2 (so more than Victory!).

Melbourne Victory conceded 13 goals, 4 goals less than Central Coast, but according to the expected goals conceded model difference between both teams is really tiny. After 11 rounds, Melbourne Victory have 14.4 expected goals conceded, Central Coast have 14.8 in the same department.

Central Coast came for this game in great form - they won in 5 of the last 6 matches in all competitions (3 consecutive wins). Melbourne Victory failed to win in 3 of the last 4 away matches and I see huge chances for another game without a win on the road.

在我看来，中央海岸队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

在这场比赛之前，中央海岸队有一个很好的心理优势，因为他们在过去的5场主场比赛中没有输过墨尔本胜利队。

目前还不确定谁将缺席，谁将缺席，但墨尔本胜利队在最近几天的伤病中遇到了问题。可以肯定的是，球队的状态并不是最好的。

11轮过后，墨尔本胜利队领跑积分榜。中央海岸的排名比中央海岸低5位，但它真的不应该像那样。墨尔本胜利队进了24球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进20球。中央海岸队进了22球，但按照同样的模型，他们应该进21.2球(比胜利队多太多了!)

墨尔本胜利队丢了13个球，比中央海岸少4个，但按照预期丢球模型来看，两队之间的差距真的很小。11轮过后，墨尔本胜利队的预期失球数为14.4，中央海岸队的预期失球数为14.8。

中央海岸队在这场比赛中状态非常好，他们在所有比赛的最后6场比赛中赢了5场(3连胜)。墨尔本胜利队在过去的4场客场比赛中有3场没有获胜，我认为他们很有可能在客场再赢一场。