STRONG results in this league! $$$
2024-01-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

墨超

01/13 11:00

已完赛

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Mazatlan FC VS Atletico San Luis


Mazatlan and Atletico San Luis lock horns in this Liga MX Clausura opening round battle at Estadio de Mazatlán Saturday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty high by global standards. This is the first tier of Mexican football. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards. To estimate the probabilities here we have to take a look at the Liga MX Apertura that came to an end last November. Not that much has changed in a few months. Mazatlan finished in 10th place with 22 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 18.14. They had a negative score difference - 25:27 to be precise. Their number of expected goals (xG) was 21.35. Furthermore, their number of expected goals allowed was 29.35. They were the last team to make it to the Playoffs but immediately lost to Santos Laguna 1-2 away from home. The hosts deserved to win as they generated 2.45 in xG. Mazatlan managed only 0.88. They have now lost three games in a row but two of their most recent matches were friendlies.

The biggest bookies that accept the largest bets from customers see the hosts only as narrow favourites at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time. The current odds of around 2.55 on them to win are way too low. The visitors have an edge over Mazatlan in all areas of the game and deserve to be solid favourites here! We will take the visitors with the +0.5 goals handicap option to win once again betting on Mexican football! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors are the much bigger team here. Their squad has an estimated market value of about 40 million euros but this is too low. The hosts' players are valued at about 35 million – this is too high in my expert analysis. 30-31 million would be a more realistic number. The visitors finished in 7th place last season with 23 points in their pocket. They had a good score difference of 31:26. Their number of xG was 30.97 and xGA was 21.45. I expect them to be even a little better this season! They did pretty well in the Playoffs, even beating a strong team Monterrey 2-1 on aggregate. Club America were too strong in the semi-finals but did win the second leg away from home 2-0 as huge underdogs on the betting market. They generated 1.98 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.25. San Luis also had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal - 6-1! They have lost just one of their last five matches.



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马萨特兰FC VS圣路易斯竞技


北京时间周六上午,马萨特兰和圣路易竞技将在Mazatlán球场展开西甲联赛首轮激战。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当高。这是墨西哥足球的第一梯队。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。为了估计这种可能性,我们必须看看去年11月结束的西甲联赛。几个月来变化不大。马萨特兰以22分排名第十。然而,他们的期望点数(xPTS)仅为18.14。他们的比分是负的,准确地说是25:27。他们的预期进球数(xG)为21.35。此外,他们的预期失球数为29.35个。他们是最后一支打进季后赛的球队,但很快在客场1-2不敌桑托斯拉古纳。东道主当之无愧地赢得了这场比赛,因为他们在比赛中取得了2.45的进球。马萨特兰只得到了0.88分。他们已经连续输了三场比赛,但最近的两场比赛是友谊赛。

在北京时间周五晚上撰写这篇预告时,接受客户最大投注的最大博彩公司只将东道主视为微弱的热门。目前他们赢得比赛的赔率约为2.55,这太低了。客队在比赛的各个方面都比马萨特兰有优势,他们理应在这里成为最受欢迎的球队!我们将带着+0.5个进球障碍选项的游客再次赢得墨西哥足球的赌注!根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,客队在这里的规模要大得多。这支球队的市场价值估计在4000万欧元左右,但这个数字太低了。东道主球员的身价约为3500万美元——根据我的专家分析,这个数字太高了。3000万到3100万是更现实的数字。客队上赛季以23分排名第7。他们的比分差是31:26。xG为30.97个,xGA为21.45个。我希望他们这个赛季能更好一点!他们在季后赛中表现相当出色,甚至以总比分2-1击败了强队蒙特雷。美洲俱乐部在半决赛中实力太强,但在第二回合的客场比赛中以2比0的比分赢得了比赛。他们在xG中产生了1.98,而主机只产生了0.25。圣路易斯同样有55%的控球率,并且有更多的进球尝试和射门——6-1!他们最近五场比赛只输了一场。

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