A FINE match to bet on! 葡超 摩雷伦斯VS卡萨皮亚
2024-01-09

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡超

01/09 04:15

已完赛

摩雷伦斯
1:0
卡萨皮亚
解读理由:

Moreirense VS Casa Pia AC


Moireirense welcome Gil Vicente for this Liga Portugal round 16 clash at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in Moreira de Conegos Beijing time. The level of this league is not even close to that of the top-5 leagues in Europe but is still way better than average.. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards. Moreirense were promoted from the second tier to this level for this season. They have been much better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. Even so, the bookies keep on underestimating them. However, they are a not a pariticularly small team in terms overall financial resources and players' total market value. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Moireirense are a significantly bigger team! Indeed, their players have an estimated market value of 19 million euros. This is still way too low in my expert opinion! At least four players are undervalued. I would say that 23-24 million would be a more fair number.. The Casa Pia squad is valued at only about 14.50 million – a relatively low number by the Liga Portugal standards. Some of their players have played above their true level so far this season – this cannot go on forever! They lack quality in all areas of the game to seriously compete for a top-10 place. They are currently in 14h place in my power rating. This rating illustrates the teams' pure class - excluding motivation and possible fatigue – caused by a grueling schedule. Moreirense, on the other hand, are in 6th place in this ranking.

Farense currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with a fine 18 points to their account. However, this league is pretty balanced behind the top-6 teams. The hosts' number of expected points (xPTS) is only 27.66. They have netted the ball 20 times in this league but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher – 24.01 to be precise. They have conceded 13 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is a bit higher though. They have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. The home advantage here is substantial and the host are clear favourites! Casa Pia have taken just 16 points and have a bad goal difference of 14:20. They have lost five of their last seven games and are in decline. Moreireinse have been in fine form lately and have not lost a game for a long time. Their team spirit and confidence are great!



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morerense VS Casa Pia AC


北京时间莫雷拉-德-孔内戈斯,葡萄牙欢迎吉尔-维森特参加西甲16强在阿尔梅达-弗雷塔斯球场的比赛。这个联赛的水平甚至还没有接近欧洲五大联赛的水平,但仍然比平均水平好得多。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。本赛季,莫雷伦斯队从乙级球队升到了这个级别。他们比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好得多。即便如此,博彩公司还是继续低估他们。然而,从整体财政资源和球员的总市场价值来看,他们并不是一支特别小的球队。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com, Moireirense是一支更大的球队!事实上,他们的球员的市场价值估计为1900万欧元。在我的专家看来,这仍然太低了!至少有四位球员被低估了。我认为2300万到2400万是比较合理的数字。卡萨皮亚队的价值仅为1450万欧元,以葡萄牙联赛的标准来看,这是一个相对较低的数字。本赛季到目前为止,他们的一些球员已经超出了他们的真实水平——这种情况不可能永远持续下去!他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力,无法真正竞争前10名。他们目前在我的功率评级中排名第14位。这个评分说明了球队的纯粹等级——不包括动力和可能的疲劳——由紧张的赛程引起的。另一方面,morerense在该排名中排名第六。

法国队目前在积分榜上排名第六,他们的账户上有18分。然而,这个联盟在前六名球队的背后是相当平衡的。主机的期望点数(xPTS)只有27.66。他们在这个联赛中有20次进球,但他们的预期进球(xG)更高,准确地说是24.01个。他们丢了13个球,但是他们的预期失球(xGA)要高一些。他们在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势。主场优势是巨大的,东道主显然是最受欢迎的!卡萨皮亚目前只拿到16分,净胜球差达14:20。他们在过去的七场比赛中输掉了五场,并且正在走下坡路。莫雷尼斯最近状态很好,已经很长时间没有输过一场了。他们的团队精神和信心是伟大的!

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