Wigan Athletic VS Manchester United

Wigan host Man United for this English FA Cup 1/32-finals clash at DW Stadium very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. There is, of course a significant difference between the teams in all areas of the game! Wigan play in the League One, the third-highest level of English football. The visitors, of course, play in the Premier League. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat mediocre level by this competition's standards.. The FA Cup is probably the best-known and most prestigious cup competition on the planet. Even so, I am not 100% convinced that the Man United players will be fully motivated – I mean to give their very best in every situation - in this game. Even winning this competition would not earn them a place in UEFA's international club competitions.. Their coach Eric ten Hag will surely field a pretty strong squad but some rotation is expected. For Wigan and their loud and enthusiastic fans this game against one the most iconic football teams in the world is a huge one! They have won seven of their last home games and the home advantage is substantial here! I need to mention that there is long-term data suggesting that betting on the heavy favourite away from home, with big handicaps, is a very bad idea in the long-run. Of course there are some exceptions but not here! With the expected lineups Man United have an about 73-74% chance of winning this but their odds of around 1.20 offered by the biggest bookies that accept the largest bets from customers are way too low. We will, however, take the Wigan +2.5 goals handicap option with a 72% chance of winning once again betting on the FA Cup. 

Wigan are in the 18th place in the League One where a total of 24 clubs play. They have 27 points in their pocket but have a strong goal difference is strong – 35:30. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher and they can improve as the season progresses! Let's not forget that last season they played in the Championship, in the second tier. Some years ago they even played in the Premier League and are a club with some pride and traditions. Man United have been a gigantic disappointment this season. I do not trust ten Hag and there have been rumours of problems between some players and the managers – as well as arguments between players. They finished in last place in the UEFA Champions League and lost to FC Copenhagen and Galatasaray! They have lost four of their last six games and cannot be high in confidence! In their last game they deservedly lost to Nottingham 1-2 away from home. They are in 8th place in the standings with 30 points but their number of xPTS is only 22.78! Even their fans have been furious with their disappointing and often even a bit lazy and underperforming team with skilled individuals team!

维冈竞技VS曼联

北京时间周二凌晨，维冈主场迎战曼联，参加英格兰足总杯1/32决赛。当然，这两支球队在游戏的各个方面都有很大的不同!维冈参加的是英甲联赛，这是英国足球的第三高级别联赛。当然，客队是在英超踢球。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场以这项比赛的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。足总杯可能是这个星球上最知名、最负盛名的杯赛了。即便如此，我也不能百分之百地相信曼联球员会在这场比赛中全力以赴——我的意思是在任何情况下都发挥出最好的水平。即使赢得了这场比赛，他们也无法在欧足联的国际俱乐部比赛中获得一席之地。他们的教练埃里克·滕·哈格肯定会派出一支相当强大的阵容，但预计会有一些轮换。对于维冈和他们热情的球迷来说，这场与世界上最具标志性的球队之一的比赛是一场巨大的比赛!他们在最近的主场比赛中赢了7场，主场优势非常明显!我需要提到的是，有长期数据表明，从长远来看，押注主场以外的大热门、大不利因素是一个非常糟糕的主意。当然也有例外，但不是这里!根据预期的阵容，曼联有大约73-74%的机会赢得这场比赛，但接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的1.20左右的赔率太低了。然而，我们将采取维冈+2.5个进球障碍选项，以72%的机会再次赢得足总杯。

维冈在共有24家俱乐部参加的英甲联赛中排名第18位。他们现在有27分，但是净胜球很大，35:30。他们的预期积分(xPTS)更高，他们可以随着赛季的进展而提高!我们不要忘记上赛季他们参加了英冠联赛，在第二梯队。几年前，他们甚至还在英超踢球，是一家有一些骄傲和传统的俱乐部。曼联这个赛季令人非常失望。我不相信黑格，有传言说一些球员和教练之间有问题，还有球员之间的争吵。他们在欧冠联赛中排名最后，输给了哥本哈根和加拉塔萨雷!他们在过去的六场比赛中输了四场，信心不可能很高!在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-2输给了诺丁汉，这是他们应得的。他们在积分榜上以30分排名第8，但他们的积分只有22.78!甚至他们的球迷也对他们令人失望，甚至有点懒惰和表现不佳的团队感到愤怒。