PROFIT from Portugal? $$$ 葡超 费伦斯VS托伦斯
2024-01-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡甲

01/07 23:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Feirense VS SCU Torreense


Feirense and Torreense lock horns in this Liga Portugal 2 round 16 battle at Estadio Marcolino de Castro in Santa Maria da Feira late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Portuguese football and the level is significantly lower than that of the first tier. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, can expect a match of somewhat mediocre level by this league's standards here. Feirense are having a weak season so far. Their last season was much better and they finished in 8th place with 46 points to their account. I believe the bookies fail to understand how much their level has dropped this season.. Indeed, they currently occupy the 16th place in this league with a total of 18 clubs. They have a lame 17 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is only marginally bigger. They have netted the ball just 13 times! This is the third-lowest number in this league. Their defence is a little better than offense but still far from great. Indeed, they have allowed 20 goals. On paper their defenders are decent for this level but they have made way too many mistakes this season. Yes, the team as a whole can improve as the season progresses but it seems that the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis..

The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits see Torreense only as slim favourites. I have to disagree! Based on my sophisticated expert analysis the visitors have a 44% chance of taking all three points. We will side with the Torreense +0.5 goals handicap option to increase the good streak of 12/15 last picks won. Feirense have won just one of their last five games. Their latest win came over a month ago at home against Mafra 3-2. The win was, however, not a deserved one as the visitors had 59% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 107-61. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). Torreense have not been at their best recently but did beat Vilaverdense in their last game. It was a home game and 3-1 was the final score. The match was more balanced than 3-1 would suggest though. The visitors have a clear edge in all areas of the game here. They are in 5th place with a score difference of 20:13. They have taken 24 points but their number of xPTS is 28.01.



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佛罗伦萨VS SCU都灵


北京时间周日晚,费伦斯和托雷塞将在葡萄牙甲级联赛第16轮的比赛中在圣玛丽亚达费拉的马尔科利诺卡斯特罗球场进行较量。这是葡萄牙足球的第二梯队,水平明显低于第一梯队。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润,可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。到目前为止,佛罗伦萨人的赛季表现不佳。他们上个赛季要好得多,他们以46分排名第8。我相信博彩公司没有理解他们这个赛季的水平下降了多少。事实上,他们目前在联赛中排名第16位,共有18家俱乐部。他们口袋里只有可怜的17分。他们的期望值(xPTS)只是稍微大一点。他们只进了13次球!这是联盟第三低的数据。他们的防守比进攻好一点,但还远远不够出色。事实上,他们已经丢了20个球。纸面上他们的后卫在这个水平上是不错的,但是他们本赛季犯了太多的错误。是的,球队作为一个整体可以随着赛季的进展而进步,但似乎博彩公司过于强调这种潜力。

拥有最大赌注限额的最大博彩公司认为,托伦斯的胜算不大。我不同意!根据我老练的专家分析,客队有44%的几率拿下全部三分。我们将支持托伦斯+0.5个进球障碍的选项,以增加12/15的连胜纪录。佛罗伦萨人在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。他们最近的胜利是一个多月前在主场3:2战胜马夫拉。然而,这场胜利并不是一场应得的胜利,客队的控球率为59%,进球次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数也更多——107:61。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。托伦斯最近状态不佳,但他们在上一场比赛中击败了维拉弗登塞。这是一场主场比赛,最终比分是3比1。不过这场比赛比3:1的结果更加平衡。客队在比赛的各个方面都有明显的优势。他们以20:13的比分差距排在第五名。他们拿到了24分,但是他们的分数是28.01分。

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