In my opinion Peterborough have much bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies want to suggest for us in their odds. +0.5 AH on the home side looks like a great call.

Obviously, Leeds plays one league higher than Peterborough, but for me hosts are extremely underrated. Peterborough is an amazing team in front of a home crowd. They didn’t lose in the last 15 home matches in all competitions. For sure confidence is on the highest possible level and they want to produce something special against prestigious opposition. Leeds lost the last three consecutive matches on the road so for me they do not deserve to be priced so low.

Leeds shouldn’t be that big favorite in this game. Obviously, their main goal for the current season is to get promoted to the Champions League. With such a heavily packed schedule, a deep run in the cup is not really what they needed now. Leeds have been knocked from the FA Cup in the 3rd round in 5 of the last 6 seasons. I see a good possibility of continuation of this streak.

Peterborough don’t have any problems with goalscoring. Hosts of today’s match up scored more than one goal in the last 4 consecutive matches. Obviously, there is no problem to score at home - Peterborough scored more than one goal in the last 13 home matches! Leeds today came without first goalkeeper Meslier and two key defenders Byram and Struijk. That is a big blow and should have a very bad impact on their performance at the back. Hard to imagine a clean sheet for guests.

Leeds failed to win in 4 of the last 5 away league matches and I really don’t see an easy game for them here.

在我看来，彼得伯勒在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大得多。+0.5 AH在主队看来是个不错的选择。

很明显，利兹联的水平比彼得伯勒高一个级别，但对我来说，主队被严重低估了。彼得伯勒在主场是一支了不起的球队。在最近的15场主场比赛中，他们没有输过。可以肯定的是，他们的信心达到了最高水平，他们想要在面对知名对手的时候制造一些特别的东西。利兹联在客场连续输掉了三场比赛，所以对我来说，他们不应该被定价这么低。

利兹在这场比赛中不应该是大热门。显然，他们本赛季的主要目标是晋级欧冠。在如此紧凑的赛程中，在杯赛上的深跑并不是他们现在真正需要的。在过去的6个赛季里，利兹有5次在足总杯第3轮就被淘汰出局。我认为这种势头很有可能延续下去。

彼得伯勒在进球方面没有任何问题。今天比赛的东道主在最近4场比赛中进球超过1个。显然，在主场进球是没有问题的——彼得堡在过去的13场主场比赛中进了不止一个球!利兹今天失去了第一门将梅斯里尔和两名关键后卫拜拉姆和斯特鲁伊克。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们后防线的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。很难想象客人会有干净的床单。

利兹联在最近的5场客场比赛中有4场失利，我真的不认为他们会有一场轻松的比赛。