Three TOP picks for La Liga! 西甲串关!
2024-01-03

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

CELTA - BETIS

Celta is once again overpriced by bookmakers.

Although they have been very unlucky and deserve more points, they have also delivered some terrible performances recently, such as against Villarreal or Rayo Vallecano.

The team appears to have a mental problem, and there are issues with the coach, who changes lineups every weekend and makes some peculiar decisions. Some players seem to be unhappy with him, but the club can't terminate his contract due to the high salary he is earning, and the financial implications of breaking the contract earlier.

Celta has won only 2 games and scored 18 goals in 18 rounds so far. With half of the season played and only 2 victories, we can agree that the team is where they deserve to be.

Their defense is a real problem as they are unable to keep a clean sheet without conceding chances. They attempted a defensive game against Rayo Vallecano, hoping for a 0:0 draw, which turned out to be an absolute miracle as they conceded a lot.

The midfield is also weak in dominating games, and after 18 rounds, I am still trying to understand Celta's plan because they have shown nothing.

On the other hand, Betis is a very competitive and difficult-to-beat team. With only 2 defeats so far and just 18 goals conceded, they possess experience, quality, and a great coach with a clear plan, resulting in excellent team performance. While they may struggle to secure victories at times, they are one of the most challenging teams to beat in La Liga. Neither leaders Girona nor Real Madrid managed to defeat them, as both defeats occurred at the beginning of the season in August. Since then, they have remained unbeaten in La Liga.

However, Betis still needs points, sitting 3 points below the European positions (6th position), and this season many teams are involved in the fight for those spots. They need to secure more points and, especially, victories, as they have achieved only 6 so far.

Upfront, they are facing challenges in scoring goals with only 20 scored, but they have quality, and it's just a matter of time. Their strikers are currently in poor form, but once they start scoring, they won't stop.

I don't see any reason to favor Celta in this match. The guests have much more quality, and I don't see Celta equipped with the necessary weapons to beat one of the most competitive sides in La Liga.

GRANADA - CADIZ

A very important game for relegation, and I see Cadiz much more prepared for this.

Granada is one of the worst teams in the league. They have one of the weakest squads, lacking motivation, and delivering very poor performances. The team looks as if it's already relegated, given their dreadful displays in their recent games (0:3 against Sevilla, 1:0 against Celta).

They have lost 8 of the last 10 games (as well as 2 draws), including a Cup match against an amateur team from the 5th category. Their main issue is in defense, where the level is simply not sufficient for La Liga, resulting in conceding a lot of chances. They are unable to keep a clean sheet, making it impossible to earn points or win games. They have signed a new defender in this winter transfer window - Bruno Mendez, who is injured for this match.

Their current balance is 1 win, 5 draws, and 12 defeats. The only victory came in the third round (August) against Mallorca, which was four months ago.

With only 8 points so far, they would need at least 30 in the second half of the season, numbers typically associated with a TOP6 team. This is impossible for a team like Granada, so they lack motivation and confidence, knowing they are almost relegated.

On the other hand, Cadiz is a specialist team in these relegation situations. They lack quality but have a plan and a great coach, making them a very competitive team in these scenarios. They know very well how to approach these kinds of games and rarely fail.

Furthermore, they have been playing well recently, being difficult to beat: unbeaten in the last 5 with important results such as a draw against Real Sociedad. They have managed to avoid defeat and played well in crucial games recently against teams like Celta (1:1) or Mallorca (1:1).

I see Cadiz with much more justification to win here. They'll have less pressure and more experience, making them capable of handling Granada's pressure. Granada, playing at home, currently faces problems as fans are discontent with the situation and players' attitude. For me, this is the perfect game for Cadiz to showcase their experience in such situations and take advantage of the rival's nerves.

GIRONA - ATLETICO

Girona is performing at a really high level, but I see them struggling in this match.

They are in great form and full of confidence, sitting at the top of the table with the same number of points as Real Madrid, having suffered only 1 defeat in 18 games and scoring 42 goals.

One of the strongest aspects of this team is coach Michel, as Girona appears to be a well-worked team with numerous alternatives to create chances, attack, and apply pressure. They consistently find players in advantageous positions to make passes and initiate attacks, displaying versatility depending on the opponents.

Moreover, when combined with their squad, which lacks no quality, this team resembles an offensive machine that is challenging to stop. However, Betis managed to do so last weekend, employing similar tactics to Atletico: a top-tier coach (Pellegrini) capable of deciphering Michel's strategies, quality, good pace, a physical team, and a solid defense. The significant difference lies in Atletico's formidable attack.

I anticipate Atletico improving further throughout the rest of the season. They are known for elevating their performances in the second half of the season, having prepared physically for this period.

Their attackers Morata and Griezmann are in excellent form, creating and converting numerous chances. While their defensive performance has been weaker this year, conceding more than usual, their potent attack compensates for it, ranking among the best in recent years.

Moreover, due to the intense competition for the TOP4, they cannot afford to drop points, as Athletic (5th) is just 3 points behind them.

Although it's currently challenging to bet against Girona, I believe Atletico is one of the teams capable of defeating them. Tactically adept, offensive prowess, and physical readiness to deny spaces and match Girona's pace make this a difficult test for Girona.

I see this match resembling the Girona - Athletic encounter, where Girona struggled and settled for a 1:1 draw in a closely contested match.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

塞尔塔-贝蒂斯

塞尔塔再次被博彩公司高估。

虽然他们很不走运,应该得到更多的分数,但他们最近的表现也很糟糕,比如对阵比利亚雷亚尔和巴列卡诺。

球队似乎有心理问题,教练也有问题,他每个周末都会更换阵容,做出一些奇怪的决定。一些球员似乎对他不满意,但俱乐部不能终止他的合同,因为他的薪水很高,而且提前解约会带来经济上的影响。

塞尔塔在18轮比赛中只赢了2场,进了18个球。半个赛季过去了,只有两场胜利,我们可以同意这支球队是他们应得的。

他们的防守是一个真正的问题,因为他们无法在不丢球的情况下保持零封。他们在对阵巴列卡诺的比赛中尝试了一场防守比赛,希望能以0:0打平,结果证明这是一个绝对的奇迹,因为他们丢了很多球。

中场在主导的比赛中也很弱,18轮之后,我仍然试图理解塞尔塔的计划,因为他们什么都没有表现出来。

另一方面,贝蒂斯是一支非常有竞争力和很难被击败的球队。到目前为止,他们只输了2场,丢了18个球,他们有经验,有实力,有一个伟大的教练,有一个清晰的计划,导致了出色的球队表现。虽然他们有时很难取得胜利,但他们是西甲最具挑战性的球队之一。领头羊赫罗纳和皇家马德里都未能击败他们,因为两场失利都发生在赛季开始的8月。从那以后,他们在西甲保持不败。

然而,贝蒂斯仍然需要积分,目前比欧洲排名(第6)落后3分,本赛季许多球队都在争夺这些席位。他们需要获得更多的积分,尤其是胜利,因为他们到目前为止只取得了6场胜利。

在前场,他们在进球方面面临着挑战,他们只有20个进球,但他们有实力,这只是时间问题。他们的前锋目前状态不佳,但一旦他们开始进球,他们就不会停止。

我看不出有任何理由在这场比赛中支持塞尔塔。客队实力更强,我不认为塞尔塔有足够的实力击败西甲最具竞争力的球队之一。

格拉纳达-加的斯

这是一场事关保级的重要比赛,我认为加的斯已经为此做好了充分准备。

格拉纳达是联盟中最差的球队之一。他们是最弱的球队之一,缺乏动力,表现也很差。从最近几场比赛(0:3对阵塞维利亚,1:0对阵塞尔塔)糟糕的表现来看,这支球队看起来好像已经降级了。

他们在最近10场比赛中输掉了8场(以及2场平局),其中包括一场对阵第5类业余球队的杯赛。他们的主要问题是防守,他们的水平根本不足以应付西甲联赛,导致他们失去了很多机会。他们无法保持零封,这使得他们不可能获得积分或赢得比赛。他们在冬季转会窗签下了一名新后卫——布鲁诺·门德斯,他将在本场比赛中受伤。

他们目前的战绩是1胜5平12负。唯一的胜利是在4个月前的第三轮(8月)对阵马洛卡。

到目前为止,他们只有8分,在赛季后半段他们至少需要30分,这通常与TOP6的球队有关。这对格拉纳达这样的球队来说是不可能的,所以他们缺乏动力和信心,因为他们知道自己几乎要降级了。

另一方面,加的斯在保级情况下是一支专业球队。他们缺乏实力,但有一个计划和一个伟大的教练,这使他们在这种情况下成为一支非常有竞争力的球队。他们非常清楚如何处理这类游戏,很少会失败。

此外,他们最近踢得很好,很难被击败:在最近的5场比赛中保持不败,其中有一些重要的结果,比如战平皇家社会。他们成功地避免了失败,并且在最近与塞尔塔(1:1)或马洛卡(1:1)等球队的关键比赛中发挥出色。

我认为加的斯更有理由在这里获胜。他们会有更少的压力和更多的经验,使他们有能力处理格拉纳达的压力。在主场比赛的格拉纳达目前面临着一些问题,因为球迷对情况和球员的态度感到不满。对我来说,这是加的斯展示他们在这种情况下的经验和利用对手的神经的完美比赛。

赫罗纳-马竞

赫罗纳的表现非常高,但我

看到他们在这场比赛中挣扎。

他们状态极佳,信心十足,在积分榜上与皇马持平,18场比赛只输了1场,进了42球。

这支球队最强大的方面之一是教练米歇尔,因为赫罗纳似乎是一支工作良好的球队,有很多选择来创造机会,进攻和施加压力。他们总是能找到处于有利位置的球员来传球和发起进攻,根据对手表现出多面手。

此外,当与他们缺乏实力的阵容结合在一起时,这支球队就像一台难以阻止的进攻机器。然而,贝蒂斯上周末成功做到了这一点,他们采用了与马竞相似的战术:一位顶级教练(佩莱格里尼)能够破译米歇尔的战略,质量,良好的节奏,一支身体强壮的球队,以及坚实的防守。显著的不同在于马竞强大的进攻。

我预计马竞在本赛季剩下的时间里会进一步提高。众所周知,他们在赛季后半段提高了自己的表现,为这段时间做了身体上的准备。

他们的攻击手莫拉塔和格列兹曼状态极佳,创造并转化了无数的机会。虽然他们今年的防守表现较弱,失球比平时多,但他们强大的进攻弥补了这一点,在近年来名列前茅。

此外,由于争夺前四名的竞争非常激烈,在排名第五的竞技仅落后3分的情况下,他们不能掉分。

虽然现在很难打赌赫罗纳会输,但我相信马竞是有能力击败他们的球队之一。战术上的娴熟,进攻上的高超,以及身体上的准备,使得这对赫罗纳来说是一个艰难的考验。

我认为这场比赛类似于赫罗纳对竞技的比赛,当时赫罗纳在一场激烈的比赛中挣扎并以1:1的平局结束了比赛。

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