Really incorrect odds in Premier League
2020-12-27

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

12/27 20:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Burnley have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

Burnley currently have very good streak against Leeds - they went unbeaten in last 5 matches in a row against them.

Burnley coming for today's match without any important absences, their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Leeds still have squad problems in defense - their key central defender Koch is unavailable (knee injury), other key central defender and team captain Cooper still have problems with abdominal injury and propably will start on the bench. Because of that in central defense will play right defender Ayling and unexperienced on this level Llorente (only one match in current season).

Leeds defense is a real problem - they have the worst defense in whole league, they conceded 30 goals in 14 matches so far. In last match they conceded 6 goals against United. Marcelo Bielsa trusts in his tactics, so we can expect another open-play from his team today.

Burnley on the other hand had very poor start of the season, but a lot of their key players were unavailable. Since key players like central defender Mee back to the team, Burnley results improved a lot. In last 7 matches they kept clean sheet 4 times and they lost only against Manchester City on away. Even their offense start clicking together - in last round their offensive duo Barnes/Wood scored one goal each in one match first time since November 2019. They coming for this match full of confidence.

I believe on today's odds big impact have public opinion and we see big contrast - Leeds have only 4 points more than Burnley, but guests played one match less. Currently Burnley is in much better form and they looks like more solid team, especially in defense.

I don't understand these odds. Burnley have all tools to break poor Leeds defense, on the other hand I don't see more than one goal for Leeds because Burnley defense is so solid in last weeks.


在我看来,伯恩利确实有很好的机会在这场比赛中取得至少1分。

伯恩利目前在对阵利兹的比赛中表现非常出色-在最近5场比赛中对阵他们保持不败。

伯恩利今天没有任何重要的缺席,他们的阵容应该与上一场完全一样。利兹队的阵容在防守上仍然存在小问题-他们的关键中后卫科赫无法出战(膝盖受伤),中后卫和队长库珀仍然有腹部损伤的问题,很可能不会首发。因此,中后卫将可能排上没有经验的洛伦特(Llorente)右后卫艾琳(Ayling)客串。

利兹的防守是一个现实的问题-他们的防守是英超联赛中最差的,在14场比赛中失30球。在上一场比赛中,他们对阵曼联丢了6球。马塞洛·比尔萨(Marcelo Bielsa)相信他的战术,因此我们可以期待今天的比赛会非常开放。

另一方面,伯恩利本赛季的开局非常糟糕,但他们的许多关键球员都无法出战。由于像中后卫Mee这样的关键球员回到了球队,伯恩利的成绩得到了很大的提高。在最近的7场比赛中,他们四次保持零封,仅在客场对阵曼城时输了球。他们的进攻也开始有所提升-在最后一轮,他们的进攻组合Barnes / Wood自2019年11月以来首次在一场比赛中各进一球。他们充满信心地应对这场比赛。

我相信今天的赔率会给大家带来很大的影响,而且我们会看到很大的反差-利兹只比伯恩利高4分,但客队打的一场比赛少。目前,伯恩利的状态要好得多,他们看起来更像一支实力雄厚的球队,尤其是在防守端。

我认为本场的指数有问题。伯恩利拥有打破弱者利兹防守的能力,但另一方面,我认为利兹的进球数应该不会超过一个,因为伯恩利在过去几周的防守非常稳定。预测伯恩利不败。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。