01月02日利物浦 VS 纽卡斯尔比赛分析直播
61：英超祝大家开门红
解读理由：
The 1st game in the English Premier League in 2024 will be between Liverpool and Newcastle. After 19 games, Liverpool has 12 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss, a total of 42 points and 1st place while Newcastle has 9 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses, a total of 29 points and 9th place. In this game, I predict Liverpool's win.
Liverpool is having a good run lately in the Premier League, as they have 5 wins and 3 draws in the last 8 games. At the same time, all 3 draws were against good teams: City, Arsenal and Manchester United. Liverpool should have beaten United because the xG difference was huge (2.38 vs. 0.75). Liverpool has 7 wins and 2 draws in 9 home games, with a total of 22 goals scored and 6 conceded. Liverpool has generated an xG of 21 at home, xGA is 7.9 while the difference is 13.1.
Newcastle isn't having the best time of the season. In the last 6 games, the team has 1 win and 5 losses. The only win for Newcastle during this period is over Fulham but Newcastle scored all goals in the 2nd half when the opponents were 1 man down. In the Christmas week, Newcastle lost not only to Luton on the road but also to Nottingham Forest at home. While Newcastle is one of the best home teams in the league, they are 2nd worst on the road with 1 win and 2 draws in 9 games, with a total of 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 14.7 away from home, xGA is 16.3 while the difference is -1.5.
Arsenal and Aston Villa lost their recent games and that was big for Liverpool. Now Liverpool has all the control over the 1st place. This is a must-win game for them, especially because of Newcastle's recent struggles and poor results on the road overall. Liverpool has also won the last 5 meetings and I see this streak continuing.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
2024年英超联赛的第一场比赛将在利物浦和纽卡斯尔之间进行。19场比赛后，利物浦12胜6平1负，积42分排名第一，纽卡斯尔9胜2平8负，积29分排名第九。在这场比赛中，我预测利物浦会赢。
利物浦在最近的英超联赛中表现不错，他们在最近的8场比赛中取得了5胜3平。与此同时，所有3场平局都是对阵强队:曼城、阿森纳和曼联。利物浦本应该击败曼联，因为他们的xG差太大了(2.38比0.75)。利物浦在9场主场比赛中取得7胜2平，共进22球失6球。利物浦在主场的净胜球为21，净胜球为7.9，净胜球差为13.1。
纽卡斯尔本赛季并没有打出最好的成绩。在过去的6场比赛中，球队1胜5负。纽卡斯尔在此期间唯一的胜利是战胜富勒姆，但纽卡斯尔在下半场对手一人落后的情况下打进了所有的进球。在圣诞周，纽卡斯尔不仅客场输给了卢顿，主场也输给了诺丁汉森林。虽然纽卡斯尔是联赛中最好的主场球队之一，但他们在客场的表现却是倒数第二，9场比赛1胜2平，进14球丢18球。球队在客场的净胜球为14.7，净胜球为16.3，两者的净胜球差为-1.5。
阿森纳和阿斯顿维拉最近输掉了比赛，这对利物浦来说是件大事。现在利物浦已经完全控制了第一名的位置。这对他们来说是一场必胜的比赛，尤其是考虑到纽卡斯尔最近的挣扎和在客场的糟糕表现。利物浦在过去的5次交锋中也取得了胜利，我认为这种连胜势头还会继续下去。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。