In my opinion Luton have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +1 AH on home side looks very safe. I don't see Chelsea win (especially with more than one goal margin).

I don't trust for Chelsea. They won 2 of last 6 matches, but that wasn't something special. Chelsea won at home against Sheffield (the worst team in whole league) and against Crystal Palace in last round by late goal from penalty kick.

Luton coming for this game full of confidence. They won last two matches in a row and they wants to go with momentum. Luton is hard nut to crack. In last 18 matches in all competitions only twice lost with more than one goal difference..

Luton in current season front of home crowd produced many good quality performances. They won against Newcastle, stopped Liverpool, Arsenal needed goal in additional time to win, they had a lead against Manchester City after 45 minutes. For me is hard to trust for Chelsea as they lost last 4 consecutive away matches..

Luton don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. I believe they have all required tools to score some goals today. They scored at least one goal in last 6 rounds. Chelsea don't have stability or consistency at the back. Only one clean sheet in last 11 Premier League matches (against the worst team in whole league). During that run 8 times they conceded more than one goal..

Odds on home side are simply too high.

在我看来，卢顿有更大的机会避免输掉比赛，而不是博彩公司给我们的赔率。主场+1 AH看起来很安全。我不认为切尔西会赢(尤其是在超过一个进球的情况下)。

我不相信切尔西。他们赢了最近6场比赛中的2场，但这并不是什么特别的事情。切尔西在主场战胜了谢菲尔德(全联赛最差的球队)，在上一轮战胜了水晶宫。

卢顿对这场比赛充满信心。他们在过去的两场比赛中取得了连胜，他们想要带着这种势头走下去。卢顿是个棘手的问题。在最近的18场比赛中，只有2场输球超过1球。

卢顿在本赛季的主场比赛中表现出色。他们赢了纽卡斯尔，阻止了利物浦，阿森纳需要在加时赛中进球才能获胜，他们在45分钟后领先曼城。我很难相信切尔西，因为他们在客场连续输掉了4场比赛。

卢顿没有任何新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。我相信他们今天都需要一些工具来进球。他们最近6轮至少进1球。切尔西的后防线不够稳定。在最近11场英超比赛中只有1场零封对手(对手是全联盟最差的球队)。在那场比赛中，他们有8次丢了一个以上的球。

主场的赔率实在太高了。