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2023-12-30

Ricards

外籍分析师

意甲

12/31 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

We are having a couple of the Italian Serie A games on Saturday night. I'm going to talk about the match between Milan and Sassuolo. After 17 games, Milan has 10 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, a total of 33 points and 3rd position while Sassuolo has 4 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses, a total of 16 points and 15th place. In this game, I predict Milan's win.

We shouldn't question Milan's motivation in this game because they struggled on the road and couldn't beat Salernitana 2:2. At the same time, Milan had bigger ball control and more shots on target. If we look overall, Milan has won 4 out of the last 5 home games in all tournaments. Just in the Serie A, Milan has 6 wins in 8 home games, with a total of 14 goals scored and 4 conceded. Milan has generated an xG of 12.3 at home, xGA is 8.6 and the difference is 3.8.

December hasn't been the best month for Sassuolo because they have 1 draw and 3 losses. While they drew on the road against Udinese, it was only possible because the opponents got a red card and Sassuolo scored 2 penalties after that. On the road this season, Sassuolo has 2 wins and 2 draws in 8 games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 10.5 away from home, xGA is 15.7 while the difference is -5.2.

Milan has a long list of absentees. The newest additions are Fikayo Tomori and Luka Jovic. Sassuolo is also having an injury problem: Uros Racic, Daniel Boloca, Gregoire Defrel, Matias Vina and Mattia Viti are all expected to sit out this match.

Despite all the problems, Milan should take care of Sassuolo. Milan is just 2 points above the 4th-placed Bologna and 3 points above the 5th-placed Fiorentina. This is a must-win game for Milan and they have won just 1 out of the last 5 meetings, and that should give an extra motivation.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上我们有两场意甲比赛。我要谈谈米兰和萨索洛的比赛。17场比赛结束后,米兰10胜3平4负,积33分排名第3,而萨索洛4胜4平9负,积16分排名第15。在这场比赛中,我预测米兰会赢。

我们不应该质疑米兰在这场比赛中的动力,因为他们在客场表现不佳,没能以2:2击败萨莱尼塔纳。与此同时,米兰的控球能力更强,射门次数也更多。如果我们从整体上看,米兰在最近的5场主场比赛中赢了4场。仅在意甲,米兰在8场主场比赛中取得6胜,共进14球失4球。米兰主场的xG值为12.3,xGA值为8.6,两者之差为3.8。

12月对萨索洛来说并不是最好的月份,因为他们1平3负。虽然他们在客场战平乌迪内斯,但这只是因为对手得到了一张红牌,萨索洛在那之后打进了2个点球。在本赛季的客场比赛中,萨索洛在8场比赛中取得了2胜2平的成绩,进13球失17球。球队在客场的净胜球为10.5,净胜球为15.7,两者的净胜球差为-5.2。

米兰的缺阵名单很长。最新加入的是菲卡约·托米和卢卡·约维奇。萨索洛也有伤病问题:拉西奇、博洛卡、德弗雷尔、维纳和维蒂都将缺席本场比赛。

尽管有这些问题,米兰应该好好照顾萨索洛。米兰仅比排名第四的博洛尼亚高出2分,比排名第五的佛罗伦萨高出3分。这对米兰来说是一场必须赢的比赛,他们在过去的5次交锋中只赢了1场,这应该会给他们额外的动力。

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