12月30日亚特兰大 VS 莱切比赛分析直播
解读理由：
On Saturday night, a couple of games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of the matches will be between Atalanta and Lecce. After 16 games, Atalanta has 8 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses, a total of 26 points and 8th position while Lecce has 4 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses, a total of 20 points and 12th position. In this game, I predict Atalanta's win.
A week ago, Atalanta lost on the road to Bologna 0:1 but the opponents had only 1 shot on target while Atalanta had 2 and they have an advantage in the xG as well. Before that, Atalanta won 3 games in a row, including beating AC Milan at home. Atalanta is a decent home team with 5 wins and 1 draw in 8 games, with 16 goals scored and 7 conceded. Per xG, Atalanta has an xG of 12.6 at home, xGA of 8.3 and a difference of 4.3.
Since September 26th, Lecce has 1 win, 6 draws and 5 losses. The only win was at home against Frosinone but the opponents had a better xG. 3 out of 5 losses were on the road and that's where Lecce struggles. The team has 2 draws and no wins in 8 road games, with a total of 7 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home, Lecce has generated an xG of 5.9, xGA is 15 while the difference is -9.1.
Rafael Toloi and Jose Luis Palomino are doubtful due to injury for Atalanta. Meanwhile, Lecce will be without either Marin Pongracic or Lameck Banda, both of whom must serve suspensions. Atalanta has been playing up and down this season but now they have a great chance to get all 3 points against a team that struggles very much on the road. Atalanta lost to Lecce at home in the last meeting but the hosts had 70% ball control and a huge advantage in the expected goals.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
周六晚上，意甲将有几场比赛，其中一场是亚特兰大和莱切之间的比赛。16场比赛结束后，亚特兰大8胜2平7负，积26分，排名第8，而莱切4胜8平5负，积20分，排名第12。在这场比赛中，我预测亚特兰大会赢。
一周前，亚特兰大客场0:1输给了博洛尼亚，但对手只有1次射正，而亚特兰大有2次射正，他们在xG也有优势。在此之前，亚特兰大取得了3连胜，其中包括在主场击败AC米兰。亚特兰大是一支不错的主场球队，8场比赛5胜1平，进16球失7球。亚特兰大在主场的xG值为12.6,xGA值为8.3，两者相差4.3。
自9月26日以来，莱切取得了1胜6平5负的战绩。唯一的胜利是在主场战胜弗罗西诺内，但对手有一个更好的xG。5场比赛中有3场是在客场输球，这也是莱切努力的地方。球队在8场客场比赛中2平无胜，共进7球失16球。在客场，莱切的xG值为5.9,xGA值为15，差值为-9.1。
亚特兰大的拉斐尔·托洛伊和何塞·路易斯·帕洛米诺因伤无法上场。与此同时，莱切将失去马琳·庞格拉西奇和拉梅克·班达，他们都必须停赛。亚特兰大这个赛季打得起起伏伏，但现在他们有很大的机会拿到全3分，对手是一支在客场非常挣扎的球队。亚特兰大在上一场主场比赛中输给了莱切，但东道主控制了70%的球权，在预期进球方面占据了巨大优势。
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