Brigthton are the unluckiest team in EPL if judged by the goal expectation metrics, but they are not always correct, not even close, and at several times being unlucky simply means not being good enough in the key areas of the pitch.

The latest match is a good example of their season, a loss despite having most of the chances.

如果从进球期望值来看，布莱顿是英超最倒霉的球队，但数据并不总是正确的，甚至不是很接近，有几次不走运仅仅意味着在关键领域不够好。

最近的一场比赛是他们本赛季的一个很好的例子，尽管有很多机会，但还是失败了。

Brighton are not yet quite clear of the relegation danger and I agree that they should not be there in the first place, but they have not won more than 7 of their 33 games this season and this time I like to oppose them.

Leeds have been overperforming a bit using the same metrics, but as we know that they have been showing brilliantly and they all to thank coach Bielsa for it then perhaps it is not overperforming, just a clash of styles which does not suit metrics very well.

The recent results are magnificent, even if we can describe the results vs Manchester teams as lucky.

布莱顿还没有完全摆脱降级的危险，我同意他们一开始就不应该被降级，但是他们本赛季的33场比赛没有赢超过7场，这一次我不看好他们。

利兹联队在同样的标准下表现得有些过强，但我们知道他们表现得非常出色，他们都要感谢主教练贝尔萨，也许这并不是表现过度，只是风格的冲突，不太符合标准。

最近的结果非常精彩，即使我们可以用幸运来形容对阵曼彻斯特的结果。

There are absentees at both sides,

双方的缺席情况

Raphinha has been the top chance creator and Cooper is their top centre-back, but for Bielsa absentees like this are no excuse, they just give new faces to impress, and as in his ideology there is a strong system it is easier to implement new pieces into it.

Taking account the huge scoring problems of Brighton I see X2 here as top value with these odds.

拉芬尼亚是他们最好的机会创造者，库珀是他们最好的中卫，但是对于贝尔萨来说这样的缺阵不是借口，他们只是给人留下新的印象，就像他的意识形态一样，有一个强大的系统更容易融入新的元素。

考虑到布莱顿巨大的得分问题，我认为客队不败在这里是最有价值的。