Is the handicap correct? 意甲 热那亚VS国际米兰
2023-12-29

Jarkko

外籍分析师

意甲

12/30 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:


The good news for Genoa is that they got finally a win last round, the bad news is that they miss their important loanee players Retegui and Junior Messias, and they face the superior Inter Milan side who are also in full form apart from the doubt of Lautaro Martinez.

Likely lineups:


For Inter Milan coach Simone Inzaghi there are also other very classy options on the bench, Pavard may well come to the defense line, Dumfries is a possibility, and even 15-goal man Lautaro is possible but this is a good time to give Arnautovic some well-deserved minutes.

Inter are unstoppable in Italy right now. Home and away. Their last 6 matches show 5 wins and 1-1 draw, which was against another top team Juventus away, most difficult fixture in the league. They have lost once, away at Sassuolo, but won 14 times! And to explain why I have chosen -1.5 here is that 11 of those wins have come by at least goals. Simply, I see there more value. The last two away matches were at Napoli and Lazio, still they beat the handicap?

Inter form:


Genova are 13th in the table with 19 points after 17 games and it reflects their performances rather well. They are far from the top teams class-wise, yet good enough that they should avoid relegation worries. They won last round a bit undeservedly at Sassuolo, before that they were without a win in 4 games, since beating 16th placed Verona on November 10th. Their top scorer Gudmunsson has scored 7 goals so far, but they have come from mere 3.2 xG worth of chances, is the man riding his luck?

Genoa have conceded only 8 goals in the first half so far, but then it has become more difficult, so let us say this will end 0-2, (0-0). Arnautovic to score, and of course strong Marcus Thuram.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:


对热那亚来说,好消息是他们在上轮终于取得了一场胜利,坏消息是他们失去了重要的租借球员雷特吉和小梅西亚斯,他们面对的是实力更强的国际米兰,除了劳塔罗·马丁内斯的疑问外,他们也状态良好。

可能的阵容:


对于国际米兰主教练西蒙尼·因扎吉来说,替补席上还有其他非常出色的选择,帕瓦德很可能会出现在后防线上,邓弗里斯也有可能,甚至15球的劳塔罗也有可能,但现在是给阿瑙托维奇一些应得的上场时间的好时机。

国际米兰现在在意大利是不可阻挡的。主场和客场。他们最近6场比赛5胜1平,客场对阵另一支强队尤文图斯,这是联赛中最艰难的比赛。他们只输过一次,客场对阵萨索洛,但赢过14次!我之所以选择-1.5是因为其中有11场胜利至少进了一球。简单地说,我看到了更多的价值。最近两场客场比赛分别是对那不勒斯和拉齐奥,但他们还是战胜了障碍?

国际米兰的形式:


热那亚在17场比赛后以19分排名第13位,这反映了他们的出色表现。从级别上来说,他们离顶级球队还很远,但他们足够优秀,应该可以避免降级的担忧。上一轮在萨索洛的比赛中,他们赢得有点不太对劲,在此之前,自11月10日击败排名第16的维罗纳以来,他们已经4场比赛没有获胜。他们的头号射手古德蒙森到目前为止已经打进了7个进球,但他们只有3.2倍的机会,这个人是在靠运气吗?

热那亚上半场到目前为止只丢了8个球,但之后比赛变得更加困难了,所以我们可以说这场比赛将以0-2(0-0)结束。阿瑙托维奇进球,当然还有强壮的图拉姆。

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