83% WINS IN SERIE A! 意甲 热那亚VS国际米兰
2023-12-29

Ricards

外籍分析师

意甲

12/30 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

On Friday night, a couple of the Italian Serie A games are going to happen and one of the matches will be between Genoa and Inter. After 17 games, Genoa has 5 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses, a total of 19 points and the 13th place while Inter has 14 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 44 points and the 1st place. In this game, I predict Inter's win.

While Genoa won the last Serie A game, the team has struggled overall with 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 7 games. It can't be said that wins were something impressive because Genoa beat Sassuolo on the road and Verona at home. In front of their fans, Genoa has 3 wins and 3 draws in 8 games, with a total of 12 points, 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. The team has generated the lowest xG at home (6.9) while the xGA is 7.3.

Inter is the best team in the league. They have won the last 4 Serie A games. Interesting that Inter has played better on the road than at home. Away from home, Inter has 7 wins and 1 draw in 8 games, with a total of 18 goals scored and 2 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 13.9 (2nd best), xGA is 5.5 (the best) and a difference of 8.4 is also the best.

Once again, Inter will be without captain Lautaro Martinez on Friday evening, as Serie A's 15-goal top scorer suffered a muscular strain against Bologna and will not return until next week. As for Genoa, Mateo Retegui and Milan loanee Junior Messias are doubtful to play.

Not having Martinez is a huge loss but Inter should still take care of the job. 2nd-place Juventus is just 4 points behind so Inter can't afford losing points. While the last meeting ended with a 0:0 draw, Inter had 72% ball control and 4 times more shots on target. Inter has won 7 out of the last 8 meetings and I expect the same outcome tonight as well.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周五晚上,将有几场意甲比赛,其中一场是热那亚和国米之间的比赛。17场比赛结束后,热那亚5胜4平8负,积19分排名第13,而国米14胜2平1负,积44分排名第1。在这场比赛中,我预测国米会赢。

虽然热那亚赢得了上一场意甲比赛,但球队在过去的7场比赛中以2胜2平3负的成绩表现欠佳。不能说热那亚在客场击败萨索洛,在主场击败维罗纳,胜利是什么了不起的事情。在球迷面前,热那亚在8场比赛中取得了3胜3平的成绩,总共积12分,进11球失10球。这支球队在主场产生了最低的xG(6.9),而xGA是7.3。

国米是联赛中最好的球队。他们赢得了最近4场意甲比赛。有趣的是,国米在客场比在主场踢得更好。在客场,国米在8场比赛中取得了7胜1平的成绩,进18球丢2球。这支球队的xG值为13.9(第二好),xGA值为5.5(最好),差值8.4也是最好的。

周五晚上,国米将再次失去队长劳塔罗·马丁内斯,这位意甲15球头号射手在对阵博洛尼亚的比赛中肌肉拉伤,要到下周才能复出。至于热那亚,雷特吉和米兰租借的小梅西亚斯都不确定能否上场。

没有马丁内斯是一个巨大的损失,但是国米仍然应该照顾好他的工作。排名第二的尤文图斯只落后4分,所以国米不能丢分。虽然上一场比赛以0:0的平局结束,但国米的控球率为72%,射正次数为4倍。国米在过去的8场比赛中赢了7场,我希望今晚也能有同样的结果。

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