17/20 EPL wins! Another one here?
2023-12-26

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

As Newcastle prepares to face Nottingham Forest, recent struggles for both teams add layers of uncertainty to this Boxing Day clash. Newcastle's woes away from home persist, evident in their defeat against Luton where Andros Townsend's lone goal sealed a crucial win for the relegation-threatened side.

For the Magpies, the injury list is extensive, with Sandro Tonali suspended and key players like Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Joseph Willock, Elliot Anderson, Jamaal Lascelles, and Lewis Miley facing concerns. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest, despite a valiant effort against Bournemouth, succumbed to a 3-2 defeat, missing key players like Willy Boly, Taiwo Awoniyi, Felipe, Ibrahim Sangare, and Serge Aurier.

Eddie Howe's Newcastle, struggling with form and multiple competitions' exits, hosts Nottingham Forest with a depleted squad. Notably, Nick Pope, Matt Targett, Javier Manquillo, and potentially Jamaal Lascelles face uncertainties. In midfield, Sandro Tonali's suspension compounds their woes, alongside Joelinton, Joe Willock, and Elliot Anderson sidelined. Further forward, long-term injuries to Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy create additional challenges.

It has been a difficult period for Eddie Howe, who, amidst a tonne of big injuries, has burnt out a thin squad through his inability to rotate. This month they have been knocked out from two competitions but they need to wake up to continue in the fight for European positions.

At home they have been very strong this season with 8 wins in 9 games and only 4 goals conceded. 2 of those goals came in their unique home defeat so far which was against Liverpool, whilst only Chelsea and Aston Villa managed to find the net in St James Park. They are the second best home team in the league after Aston Villa.

This home fixture is a very good chance to forget all the problems they faced recently and continue in the top positions.

On the other side, Nottingham Forest, under Nuno Espirito Santo, deals with their own injury woes. The absence of Willy Boly due to suspension and doubts over Serge Aurier make their defensive setup vulnerable. Despite Forest's determination, their position in 17th place raises concerns, displaying signs of "second-season syndrome."

They are winless in the last 7 with 6 defeats, including the dramatic one last weekend against Bournemouth (2:3) conceding in the stoppage time.

Nottingham Forest has been totally outplayed by all top teams this season, and they have the third worst defense in the Premier League with 33 goals conceded in 18 games; 19 of them as visitors. Are also terrible travelers with only 1 win and 6 defeats in 9 games. The victory came very luckily against Chelsea where they were totally outplayed and deserved to lose.

As Eddie Howe seeks redemption, a scrappy victory for Newcastle is anticipated in my opinion, considering their historical home strength. The Magpies, though fatigued and facing an injury crisis, may find the energy needed to overcome a Forest side struggling near the relegation zone. While both teams are battling challenges, the home advantage for Newcastle becomes a decisive factor in this encounter. Newcastle already beat Nottingham last season twice (1:2 and 2:0).



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纽卡斯尔准备迎战诺丁汉森林,两队最近的挣扎给节礼日的比赛增加了不确定性。纽卡斯尔在客场的困境还在继续,在他们输给卢顿的比赛中,安德罗斯·汤森的唯一进球为这支保级球队锁定了一场关键的胜利。

对于喜鹊来说,伤病名单很长,桑德罗·托纳利停赛,尼克·波普、雅各布·墨菲、哈维·巴恩斯、约瑟夫·威尔洛克、埃利奥特·安德森、贾马尔·拉塞尔斯和刘易斯·麦利等关键球员都面临着担忧。与此同时,诺丁汉森林队尽管在对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛中表现出色,但最终还是以3比2的比分落败,他们失去了博利、阿沃尼伊、菲利佩、桑加雷和奥里耶等关键球员。

埃迪·豪的纽卡斯尔,状态不佳,多次被淘汰,主场迎战诺丁汉森林。值得注意的是,尼克·波普,马特·塔吉特,哈维尔·曼奎略,可能还有贾马尔·拉塞尔斯都面临着不确定性。在中场,桑德罗·托纳利的停赛加剧了他们的困境,而乔林顿、乔·威尔洛克和埃利奥特·安德森也缺阵。再往前看,哈维·巴恩斯和雅各布·墨菲的长期伤病给球队带来了额外的挑战。

对于埃迪·豪来说,这是一段艰难的时期,在大量的伤病中,由于无法轮换,他已经耗尽了本来就很薄的阵容。这个月他们在两项比赛中被淘汰,但他们需要清醒过来继续争夺欧洲席位。

在主场,他们本赛季非常强大,9场8胜,只丢了4球。其中2个进球是在主场输给利物浦的比赛中打进的,只有切尔西和阿斯顿维拉在圣詹姆斯公园球场破门。他们是联赛中第二好的主场球队,仅次于阿斯顿维拉。

这场主场比赛是一个很好的机会,可以忘记他们最近面临的所有问题,继续保持领先地位。

另一方面,诺丁汉森林队在努诺·圣埃斯皮里图的带领下,正在处理他们自己的伤病问题。博利因停赛而缺阵,塞尔日·奥里耶也受到质疑,这使得他们的防守结构变得脆弱。尽管森林队决心坚定,但他们排在第17位,表现出“第二赛季综合症”的迹象,令人担忧。

在过去的7场比赛中,他们只输了6场,包括上周末戏剧性的对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛(2:3),在补时阶段失球。

本赛季,诺丁汉森林被所有顶级球队完全击败,他们的防守在英超联赛中排名第三,18场比赛丢了33球;其中19人是访客。他们也是糟糕的旅行者,在9场比赛中只有1胜6负。我们很幸运地战胜了切尔西,他们完全被击败了,输是他们应得的。

当埃迪·豪寻求救赎时,考虑到他们历史上的主场实力,我认为纽卡斯尔有望获得一场激烈的胜利。喜鹊虽然疲惫不堪并且面临着伤病危机,但他们可能会找到战胜在降级区挣扎的森林队所需要的能量。虽然两支球队都面临挑战,但纽卡斯尔的主场优势成为这场比赛的决定性因素。纽卡斯尔上赛季已经两次击败诺丁汉(1:2和2:0)。

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