AS Roma VS Napoli

Roma and Napoli lock horns in this Italian Serie A round 17 battle at Stadio Olimpico early Sunday morning Beijing time. This This is the fourth-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of high level by the Serie A standards. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity ere! Roma currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have a decent 25 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is even higher -  29.33 to be precise. They have netted the ball 28 times so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is a bit smaller. They have conceded 19 goals in this league so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 15.06. Roma, coached by the iconic "Special One" from Portugal (Jose Mourinho) are in the fight for a top-5 – perhaps even top-4 - position at the end of the season. They have lost just one of their last seven games and are high in confidence. However, they are missing some players here but at least their most dangerous striker, Lukaku, a strong but still pretty fast guy. Napoli are missing Elmas, Oliveira. Lindstom is questionable at the time of posting this preview.

In their last game Roma lost in Bologna 0-2. However, they recorded more shots on goal (3-2) dangerous attacks (45-31) as well as attacks. They also generated more than Bologna in xG (0.72-0.55) despite missing a very big number of important player. Before this Roma crushed Sheriff Tiraspol 3-0 at home. It was an UEFA Europa League round 6 battle. Roma generated 2.98 in xG – the visitors, on the other hand, managed only 0.41. Roma also recorded many more goal attempts (17-5), shots on target. (6-2), shots off goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Napoli are the reigning champions but their season has been a big disappointment. They have taken only 27 points and are in 6th place. Their number ox xPTS is only a little bigger. The key reason behind their decline is losing their excellent coach. They have lost four of their last six games! In their last game they were awful - losing to a small team Frosinone 0-4 (!) as very clear favourite. Napoli generated only 0.35 in xG in this cup game. The biggest bookies see Roma only as narrow favourites here but I see them as more clear favourites. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option.

罗马VS那不勒斯

北京时间周日凌晨，罗马和那不勒斯将在奥林匹克球场展开意甲第17轮激战。这是这个星球上第四好的联盟。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以意甲标准衡量的高水平比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!罗马目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们的账户上有可观的25分。他们的期望值(xPTS)甚至更高——准确地说是29.33。到目前为止，他们已经射门28次。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)要小一些。到目前为止，他们在联赛中丢了19个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有15.06个。由葡萄牙标志性的“特别的人”(何塞·穆里尼奥)执教的罗马正在为本赛季结束后进入前五甚至前四的位置而战。他们最近七场比赛只输了一场，信心十足。然而，他们缺少了一些球员，但至少他们最危险的前锋卢卡库，一个强壮但速度很快的家伙。那不勒斯缺埃尔马斯，奥利维拉。Lindstom在发布这个预览时是有问题的。

在上一场比赛中，罗马0-2输给了博洛尼亚。但是射门(3胜2负)、危险进攻(45胜31负)和进攻次数更多。尽管缺少了一大批重要球员，他们的净胜率(0.72-0.55)也超过了博洛尼亚。在此之前，罗马在主场3-0击败了蒂拉斯波尔警长。这是一场欧联杯第六轮的比赛。罗马在比赛中创造了2.98个进球，而客队只创造了0.41个。罗马的进球次数也更多(17胜5负)，射正次数也更多。(6-2)，射门，角球，总传球，完成传球，进攻和危险进攻。那不勒斯是卫冕冠军，但是他们这个赛季非常令人失望。他们只拿到了27分，排在第六位。他们的xPTS数量只是稍微大一点。他们衰落的主要原因是失去了他们优秀的教练。他们最近6场比赛输了4场!在上一场比赛中，他们表现得很糟糕——0-4输给了一支小球队弗罗西诺内(!)。那不勒斯在这场杯赛中只有0.35的进球。最大的博彩公司认为罗马在这里的胜算不大，但我认为他们的胜算更大。我们将采用+0.5目标障碍选项。