FREE PICK! A very interesting game!
2023-12-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

12/22 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Real Betis VS Girona



Real Betis welcome Girona for this Spanish LaLiga round 18 clash at Estadio Benito Villamain Sevilla early Friday morning Beijing time. This league is the second-best in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of much better than average level by the LaLiga standards. Girona are having a strong season! Indeed, they top the standings with a fine 44 points to their account. They have been perhaps the biggest positive surprise - at least results-wise - in the top-5 European leagues so far this season! Real Madrid have taken 42 points and Barcelona occupy the third place with 38 points. Yes, Girona have exceeded my, the bookies' - and most probably their own expectations this season but I need to highlight that they have also been incredibly lucky in many LaLiga. They are not in the top-6 in my power rating.. This rating illustrates the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 27.65! They have netted the ball 41 times in LaLiga. This is the highest number in this league. In this area of the game they have been top-5 level so far but many of their offensive players have performed above their normal level so far. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 33.53. Their defence is pretty good but not great – after all.. They have allowed the same number of goals as Alaves - 20 to be precise. Girona's number of expected goals allowed is 27.94. 

In their last game the visitor defeated Alavs 3-0 at home as big favourites on the betting market. Indeed, they were priced around 1.60 to send the visitors home empty-handed. They deserved to win but the final score is still misleading. Yes, Girona had 67% ball possession but Alaves still recorded more in xG – 1.60-0.90 to be precise. This match was played on Monday (Spain time) so they have had only two full days to recover and prepare for this challenging game. Betis last played on Sunday. Before this Girona beat Barcelona 4-2 away from home. However, I want to highlight that it was not a deserved win! Barcelona recorded many more goal attempts (31-15), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, Barcelona generated 3.67 in xG – Girona managed 2.35. This win seems to affect the odds too much here. Betis, on the other hand, have not lost a single game at Estadio Benito Villamarín in LaLiga so far this season. Their fans are very loyal and loud and offer a gigantic boost to the players. Moreover, they have won 5/8 home games at this stadium this season – allowing only three goals. They are currently in 7th place in the league table with 27 points to their account . Their xPTS is 28.56. Their offense has been a slight disappointment to me – no denying this.. However, they can improve in this area of the game as the season progresses.. They have netted the ball only 19 times in LaLiga but their number of xG is 25.65. Their defence has been very solid and they have conceded only 17 goals. Only Real Madrid have allowed less goals (11). Betis have lost only two games in LaLiga. Furthermore, their last loss in this league came in September – against Barcelona – as very clear underdogs.. In their last game the hosts played well – taking a point from a strong team, Real Sociedad, away from home through a goalless draw as very clear underdogs. Betis generated more than the hosts in xG – 1.41-0.98. With the expected lineups the teams are more or less equal but with the substantial home advantage Betis deserve to be the favourites! We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option – with a big chance of winning. The biggest bookies, on the other hand, see Girona as the favourites offering them odds of around 2.55 to take all three points..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

皇家贝蒂斯VS赫罗纳



北京时间周五凌晨,皇家贝蒂斯将在塞维利亚贝尼托维拉曼球场迎来西甲第18轮对阵赫罗纳的比赛。这个联赛是世界上第二好的。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比西甲平均水平好得多的比赛。赫罗纳正在经历一个强大的赛季!事实上,他们以44分的高分高居榜首。他们可能是本赛季迄今为止欧洲五大联赛中最大的积极惊喜——至少在成绩方面!皇马积42分,巴萨积38分排名第三。是的,赫罗纳这个赛季已经超出了我和博彩公司的预期,而且很可能超出了他们自己的预期,但我需要强调的是,他们在很多西甲联赛中也非常幸运。在我的力量评分中,他们不在前六名之内。这个排名说明了球队的纯粹等级,最好的首发11人。他们的期望值(xPTS)只有27.65!他们在西甲联赛中打进41球。这是联盟中最高的数字。到目前为止,在这个领域,他们一直是前五名的水平,但他们的许多进攻球员迄今为止的表现都超过了他们的正常水平。他们的预期进球数(xG)是33.53。他们的防守相当不错,但不是很好——毕竟…他们丢了和阿拉维斯一样多的球——准确地说是20个。赫罗纳的预期失球数是27.94个。

在上一场比赛中,客队在主场以3比0击败阿拉维斯队,成为博彩市场上的大热门。事实上,他们的价格在1.6英镑左右,让游客空手而归。他们理应获胜,但最后的比分仍然具有误导性。是的,赫罗纳有67%的控球率,但阿拉维斯的xG值更高——准确地说,是1.60-0.90。这场比赛是在周一(西班牙时间)进行的,所以他们只有整整两天的时间来恢复和准备这场具有挑战性的比赛。贝蒂斯上一次比赛是在周日。在此之前,赫罗纳客场4-2击败巴塞罗那。然而,我想强调的是,这不是一场应得的胜利!巴萨的进球次数更多(31-15次)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。此外,巴塞罗那在g赛季打进了3.67球,赫罗纳打进了2.35球。这场胜利似乎对赔率影响太大了。另一方面,贝蒂斯本赛季至今在贝尼托球场Villamarín没有输过一场比赛。他们的球迷非常忠诚和大声,并提供了巨大的推动球员。此外,他们本赛季在这个球场赢了5/8场主场比赛,只丢了3个球。目前他们在积分榜上排名第七,积分榜上有27分。他们的xPTS是28.56。他们的进攻让我有点失望——这是无可否认的。然而,随着赛季的进行,他们可以在这方面有所提高。他们在西甲联赛中只有19次进球,但他们的射门次数是25.65次。他们的防守非常稳固,只丢了17个球。只有皇马丢的球比他们少(11个)。贝蒂斯在西甲只输了两场比赛。此外,他们在联赛中的最后一场失利是在9月份——对阵巴塞罗那——他们显然处于劣势。在上一场比赛中,主队打得很好,从强大的皇家社会那里拿了一分,他们在客场以0比0的平局明显处于劣势。贝蒂斯产生的比xG - 1.41-0.98中的主机多。在预期的阵容中,两支球队或多或少是相等的,但由于主场优势,贝蒂斯应该成为最受欢迎的球队!我们将用+0.5个进球的障碍选项来选择他们——有很大的获胜机会。另一方面,最大的博彩公司认为赫罗纳是最受欢迎的,他们提供了2.55左右的赔率来获得全部三分。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。