I don't trust for them in this game
2023-12-21

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

12/22 04:30

已完赛

马洛卡
1:0
奥萨苏纳
解读理由:

In my opinion Osasuna have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


Osasuna have good mental advantage before this game as they didn’t lost in 6 of last 7 matches against Mallorca. In addition to that they went unbeaten in last 3 consecutive matches at this stadium. For sure they coming here without any fear.


Osasuna have one new absence – right winger Garcia is unavailable, but the most important offensive players like Budimir, Gomez or Avila are in first squad today. On the other hand, Mallorca is still without their best player in current season (according to the ratings) Muriqi. It’s huge blow because he is also second-best scorer and second-best assistant. In addition to that key defender Valjent is unavailable. Other two important players Lato & Mascarell are very doubtful.


In overall I see Osasuna as a better team than Mallorca. They finished previous season in top7 and in current season they have 4 points more than today’s opponents and they are 4 places above them in league table.


Osasuna at the moment looks stable. They didn’t lost in 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions. Team coming for this game in good mood as they won 1:0 at home against Rayo in last round. Osasuna scored in additional time. For sure that was big boost of confidence and they wants to go with momentum today.


Mallorca have some solidity, but they have huge problems with winning in current season. They failed to win in 15 of 17 La Liga matches. In both matches when they won, they really shouldn’t (according to the expected goals scored model). They won on the road against Celta (1:0, goals scored by unavailable today Muriqi): expected goals scored for Celta 1.29, for Mallorca 0.80. They won 1:0 at home against Sevilla, but that was very tight game: expected goals scored for Mallorca 0.48 (34% ball possession), expected goals scored for Sevilla 0.63.


I don’t trust for Mallorca. For me they are not favorite of this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来奥萨苏纳有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


奥萨苏纳在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势,因为他们在最近7场对马洛卡的比赛中6场未输。除此之外,他们在这个球场连续3场比赛保持不败。他们毫无畏惧地来到这里。


奥萨苏纳有一个新的缺阵——右边锋加西亚无法上场,但是像布迪米尔、戈麦斯和阿维拉这样最重要的进攻球员今天都在一线队。另一方面,马洛卡仍然没有他们本赛季最好的球员穆里奇(根据收视率)。这是一个巨大的打击,因为他也是第二好的得分手和第二好的助手。除此之外,主力后卫瓦尔延特也不能上场。另外两名重要球员拉托和马斯卡雷尔的下场也令人怀疑。


总的来说,我认为奥萨苏纳比马洛卡更好。上赛季他们排名前7,本赛季他们比现在的对手多4分,在积分榜上比他们高4位。


奥萨苏纳目前看起来很稳定。在最近的6场比赛中,他们有5场没有输。球队带着良好的心情来看这场比赛,因为他们在上一轮主场1:0战胜了雷诺。奥萨苏纳在加时赛中进球。毫无疑问,这极大地增强了我们的信心,他们今天想要带着势头前进。


马略卡有一些实力,但是他们在本赛季的胜利方面有很大的问题。他们在17场西甲比赛中有15场失利。在两场比赛中,当他们获胜时,他们真的不应该(根据预期进球模型)。他们客场战胜了塞尔塔(1:0,进球由穆里奇今天无法取得):塞尔塔预期进球数1.29,马洛卡预期进球数0.80。他们在主场1:0战胜了塞维利亚,但这是一场势均力敌的比赛:马洛卡的预期进球数为0.48(34%控球率),塞维利亚的预期进球数为0.63。


我不相信马略卡岛。对我来说,他们不是这个游戏的最爱。

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