12月22日皇家贝蒂斯 VS 赫罗纳比赛分析直播
11：赫罗纳的榜首之争
解读理由：
In my opinion Betis have really good chances to make at least one point in this game.
For me odds on home side are simply too high. Obviously, Girona plays excellent season so far, but in previous season we saw 1.72 on Betis win at home against them. Hosts shouldn’t be underdog here.
Betis have big mental advantage before this game, they have superb h2h record against Girona. Betis played 10 matches against them and recorded 9 wins (1 draw). In previous season two wins with the same scoreline – 2:1.
Girona is the biggest surprise of the season, no doubt about that. They are leaders of the table after 17 rounds, but Betis also plays very well. Hosts are in top7 with only 2 losses on their account. Betis coming for this game with hot streak of 13 league matches without a loss.
Girona is better team in offense, no doubt about that. They scored 41 goals in current season. According to the expected goals scored model is second-best team in La Liga. Today they are without third-best scorer Herrera (he is also third-best player according to the ratings) and without third-best assistant Tsigankov. That should have bad impact on their performance in attack.
On the other hand Betis is better team at the back in comparison to the Girona. In current season only two teams conceded less goals, only Real Madrid kept more clean sheets. They are in top5 of La Liga according to the expected goals conceded model. Girona in same table is only bottom half. They kept only one clean sheet in last 7 matches in all competitions.
In addition to that Betis is rock solid at home – they went unbeaten in all 8 La Liga matches front of home crowd (5 wins in the process) and conceded only 3 goals during that run.
On those circumstances I see very good value at double chance on home side.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，贝蒂斯有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。
对我来说，主场的赔率实在太高了。显然，到目前为止，赫罗纳的表现非常出色，但在上个赛季，我们主场战胜贝蒂斯的比分是1.72。东道主不应该在这里处于劣势。
贝蒂斯在这场比赛前有很大的心理优势，他们在对阵赫罗纳的比赛中有出色的战绩。贝蒂斯与他们进行了10场比赛，取得了9胜1平的成绩。在之前的赛季中，以2:1的比分取得两场胜利。
毫无疑问，赫罗纳是本赛季最大的惊喜。17轮过后，他们在积分榜上处于领先地位，但贝蒂斯也踢得很好。东道主只输了2场，排在前7。贝蒂斯在这场比赛中已经连续13场联赛不败。
毫无疑问，赫罗纳在进攻端是一支更好的球队。他们本赛季进了41个球。根据预期进球数模型是西甲第二好的球队。今天，他们没有了第三佳射手埃雷拉(他也是排名第三的球员)，也没有了第三佳助理齐甘科夫。这应该会对他们进攻端的表现产生不好的影响。
另一方面，贝蒂斯在后防线上比赫罗纳更胜一筹。本赛季只有两支球队丢的球比我们少，只有皇马保持了更多的零封。根据预期失球模型，他们在西甲排名前五。赫罗纳在同一排行榜上仅排名后半。在最近的7场比赛中，他们只保持了1场零封。
除此之外，贝蒂斯在主场坚如磐石——他们在8场西甲主场比赛中保持不败(其中5场胜利)，并且在这段时间里只丢了3个球。
在这种情况下，我认为主队有双倍的机会很有价值。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。