8/8 in my last Bundesliga matches
2023-12-20

Przem

外籍分析师

德甲

12/21 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Bayern is clear favorite of today’s match up and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2-3 goals difference. -1.5 AH on away side looks like really solid option to play.


Bayern is always ‘must play’ bet against Wolfsburg. Guests have huge mental advantage before this game as they won 27 of last 32 matches against Wolfsburg. 7 of last 10 matches between both teams finished with Bayern win with more than one goal difference. I expect similar scenario today.


Bayern is on 2nd place in league table and really no room for error because Leverkusen looks unstoppable at the moment. It’s last game of 2023 and for sure Bayern wants to finish in great style. Team coming for this game full of confidence. At the weekend they played against top3 Stuttgart at home and won 3:0. That was fully deserved outcome and that was very convincing performance from Bayern: expected goals scored for Bayern 2.84, expected goals scored for Stuttgart 0.41. No new absences so Bayern line up should look exactly the same like in previous rounds. I expect another high quality performance today.


Wolfsburg won 1:0 at the weekend against poor Darmstadt (last position in league table), but that wasn’t convincing performance at all: both teams finished with 0.64 expected goals scored. It’s hard to trust for Wolfsburg at the moment, looks like they are out of form – they lost 3 of last 4 matches and scored only 2 goals during that run. In addition to that today they are without their second-best player in current season (according to the ratings) Svanberg. It’s huge blow because he is also second-best assistant. His absence should have very bad impact on guests performance today.


On those circumstances I can’t imagine any other scenario than comfortable win for guests, with at least 2-3 goals difference.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,拜仁在今天的比赛中显然是最受欢迎的,并且应该能够以至少2-3球的差距轻松获胜。客场1.5 AH看起来是一个非常可靠的选择。


拜仁对沃尔夫斯堡总是“必须打”的赌注。客队在这场比赛前有巨大的心理优势,他们在过去32场对沃尔夫斯堡的比赛中赢了27场,两队在过去10场比赛中有7场拜仁以1球以上的差距获胜。我预计今天也会出现类似的情况。


拜仁在联赛中排名第二,没有犯错的余地,因为勒沃库森现在看起来势不可挡。这是2023年的最后一场比赛,拜仁肯定想以出色的风格结束比赛。球队对这场比赛充满信心。周末,他们在主场对阵排名第三的斯图加特,并以3:0获胜。这是拜仁应得的结果,这是拜仁非常令人信服的表现:拜仁的预期进球数为2.84,斯图加特的预期进球数为0.41。没有新的缺阵,所以拜仁的阵容应该和前几轮一模一样。我期待今天又有一场高质量的演出。


沃尔夫斯堡在周末1:0战胜了落后的达姆施塔特(联赛排名最后),但这并不是令人信服的表现:两支球队的预期进球数都是0.64。现在的沃尔夫斯堡很难让人相信,看起来他们状态不佳——他们在最近的4场比赛中输了3场,只进了2球。除此之外,今天他们失去了本赛季第二好的球员(根据收视率)思文凯。这是一个巨大的打击,因为他也是第二好的助理。他的缺席会对今天客人的表现产生很坏的影响。


在这种情况下,我无法想象任何其他场景,除了让客队轻松取胜,至少有2-3个进球。

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