In my opinion Villarreal have bigger chances than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH looks like very safe option to play.

Villarreal have good mental advantage before this game as they won in last two home matches against Celta Vigo. Villarreal went unbeaten in 6 of last 7 games between both teams.

Home advantage should make big difference. Celta Vigo is very poor team on the road - two years ago they failed to win in 15 of 19 away league matches (11 losses in the process), in previous season they failed to win in 15 of 19 away league matches (11 losses in the process). In current season they failed to win in 7 of 8 away league matches and already recorded 4 losses.

Obviously, Villarreal plays poor season in their standards as they are only 3 points above relegation zone (Celta Vigo) and this is reason why they changed coach and why Marcelino is now on their bench. If You look on the bigger picture, Villarreal have some consistency and they are not so easy to break, especially by the lower rank opponents. Since middle of October they played 14 matches in all competitions. During that run they recorded 7 wins and lost only 4 times - all matches against teams currently ranked inside top6 of La Liga table.

In addition to that Celta Vigo today without their best player in current season (according to the ratings) and team captain Iago Aspas. It's huge blow because he is also second-best scorer and best assistant. His absence should have very bad impact on guests performance today.

在我看来，比利亚雷亚尔有比博彩公司给我们的赔率更大的机会。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择。

比利亚雷亚尔在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势，因为他们在过去的两场主场比赛中都赢了维戈塞尔塔。比利亚雷亚尔在两队最近的7场比赛中有6场保持不败。

主场优势应该会产生很大的影响。维戈塞尔塔是一支非常糟糕的客场球队——两年前他们19场客场比赛中有15场失利(11场失利)，上个赛季他们19场客场比赛中有15场失利(11场失利)。本赛季，他们在8场客场比赛中有7场没有获胜，并且已经输了4场。

显然，比利亚雷亚尔本赛季的水准很差，他们只比降级区(维戈塞尔塔)高出3分，这就是他们换帅的原因，也是马塞利诺现在坐在替补席上的原因。如果你从更大的角度来看，比利亚雷亚尔有一定的稳定性，他们不是那么容易被打破的，尤其是面对排名较低的对手。自10月中旬以来，他们参加了14场比赛。在这段时间里，他们取得了7胜4负的战绩——所有的对手都是目前在西甲排名前6的球队。

此外，塞尔塔今天失去了他们本赛季最好的球员(根据收视率)和队长伊阿戈·阿斯帕斯。这是一个巨大的打击，因为他也是第二好的得分手和最佳助理。他的缺席会对今天客人的表现产生很坏的影响。