Borussia Dortmund VS FSV Mainz 05

Dortmund host Mainz for this German Bundesliga round 16 clash at Signal Iduna Park Wednesday morning Beijing time. This league is the third-best in the world. Football lovers and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by the Bundesliga standards. Dortmund are having a pretty strong season so far. Indeed, the hosts currently occupy the fifth place in the league table. They have grabbed a total of 26 points. In terms of expected points (xPTS) they have not really been neither lucky or unlucky. They have netted the ball a respectable 29 times in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is clearly bigger– 34.59 to be precise. Especially in this area of the game they have a substantial edge over the visitors. Indeed, Mainz have scored only 12 goals so far. This is a pathetically low number! Their number of xG is higher though. Even so, their offense lacks individual skill, speed, creativity to do well at this level

In terms of defensive quality the difference between the teams is unarguably smaller than in terms of offensive firepower. Indeed, the Dortmund defence has been a disappointment to me this season.. Their defenders have made too many silly defensive mistakes – rather surprisingly also in home games. However, against Mainz this does not worry me too much. The hosts have conceded only 24 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is a bit higher. They can, however, improve significantly in all areas of the game. The visitors have allowed 27 goals and their defence does have many weaknesses. I expect the fast and skilled Dortmund strikers and midfielders to punish them here. Mainz have only a pathetic nine points in their pocket. Yes, their number of xPTS is higher but the team has still been a gigantic disappointment to me. They have won only two games in the Bundesliga this season. Away from home they have last won a game in August, against a very small team. According to my sources their team spirit is not great at the moment.. The hosts are very big favourites here.

多特蒙德VS美因茨05

北京时间周三上午，多特蒙德将在信号伊杜纳公园主场迎战美因茨，进行德甲16强的比赛。这个联赛是世界上第三好的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照德甲标准相当平均水平的比赛。到目前为止，多特蒙德有一个相当强劲的赛季。事实上，东道主目前在积分榜上排名第五。他们总共得到了26分。就期望积分(xPTS)而言，他们既不幸运也不不幸。到目前为止，他们在联赛中已经有29次进球了。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)明显更大——准确地说是34.59。特别是在比赛的这个方面，他们比客队有很大的优势。事实上，美因茨目前只进了12个球。这是一个可怜的低数字!但它们的xG数更高。即便如此，他们的进攻缺乏个人技术、速度和创造力，无法在这个水平上取得好成绩

在防守质量方面，两队之间的差距无疑小于进攻火力方面的差距。事实上，这个赛季多特蒙德的防守让我很失望。他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的防守错误——令人惊讶的是在主场比赛中也是如此。然而，对美因茨来说，这并不太让我担心。东道主只丢了24个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)略高。然而，他们可以在游戏的所有领域显著提高。客队丢了27个球，他们的防守确实有很多弱点。我希望多特蒙德的快速和技术娴熟的前锋和中场能够在这里惩罚他们。美因茨只拿到可怜的9分。是的，他们的xPTS数量更高，但这支球队对我来说仍然是一个巨大的失望。他们本赛季在德甲只赢了两场比赛。他们上一次在客场赢球是在8月份，对手是一支非常小的球队。根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神目前不是很好。东道主是这里的大热门。