We are SUPER HOT! ¥¥¥ 意甲 拉齐奥VS国际米兰
2023-12-17

Tapio

外籍分析师

意甲

12/18 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Lazio VS Inter Milan


Lazio and Inter lock horns in this Italian Serie A round 16 battle at Stadio Olimpico in Rome early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of high level by the Serie A standards. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more profit here! We have won a whopping seven picks in a row and 10/11 last picks at the time of posting. In the Serie A recent results have also been solid. I will be posting one more pick on the big leagues soon! Lazio currently occupy the 11th place. They have 21 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 25.04. Lazio have netted the ball 16 times in the Serie A but their number of expected goals (xG) is 22.05. There is no denying the fact that their season has been a disappointment so far. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating. They are currently in 6th place in this rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. The bookies have reacted too heavily to their erratic performances so far.. Lazio can improve a lot in all areas of the game. I want to remind my fans that last season they finished in second place, behind dominant Napoli. Lazio have lost only one of their last five games. This defeat came on Wednesday away from home in the last round of UEFA Champions League group stage. 2-0 was the final score and Lazio were big underdogs in this game – priced around 6.00 to win on the betting market. Atletico, one of the top-10 teams in Europe, did deserve the win but generated only 0.89 in (xG). Lazio managed 0.65. Both teams recorded four shots on goal. Lazio qualified for the Champions League Playoffs easily, finishing in 2nd place with a fine 10 points to their account. Surely a big boost to them ahead of this big challenge. I want to highlight that Lazio had already secured a spot in the Playoffs before the game against Atletico. Before this they faced Verona away from home and it was a 1-1 draw. Lazio generated 1.21 in xG – Verona's number was 0.53. Lazio definitely would have deserved all three points! They had 71% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-5), shots on goal (5-1), corner kicks (7-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. Lazio have been very strong at home recently. Indeed, they have not lost any of their last 10 games – and only 1/16 last matches at Stadio Olimpico and their enthusiastic and loyal fans offer the players a gigantic boost. I want to highlight that Lazio have won seven of the last 10 home games!

 Inter currently top the Serie A standings with 38 points in their pocket. They are the best team in this league – but not by a clear margin.. Their number of xPTS is "only" 32.54. They have scored an impressive 37 goals (xG) 31.98. Inter have conceded only seven goals and have undoubtedly defended very well. However, their number of xGA is much bigger – 12.04. I expect Lazio to be rather defensive here against a strong opponent. The hosts, too, have a strong defence and have allowed only 16 goals and their xGA is 15.45. Silly individual mistakes are rather rare and they fight very hard for every ball. Inter have won only two of their last five games. In their last game they faced Real Sociedad in the Champions League and no goals were scored. Inter were priced around 1.85 to win the game by the bookies but no goals were scored. The Spanish visitors recorded marginally more in xG – 0.78-0.73. They also had 62% ball possession and recorded more corner kicks (5-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks (143-80) and dangerous attacks. Before this they beat Udinese at home as gigantic favourites 4-0. Tinter deserved to win but the final score is, however, misleading. Udinese recorded 11 goal attempts – Inter managed 17. They are, of course, the favourites here but are, once again, clearly overrated by the biggest bookies. Lazio have a 54% chance of taking at least a point. Odds of around 2.15 are widely available for the Lazio +0.5 goals handicap option to win once again!



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拉齐奥VS国际米兰


北京时间周一凌晨,拉齐奥和国米将在罗马奥林匹克球场展开意甲16强大战。这是世界上第四好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以意甲标准衡量的高水平比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的投注机会,可以在这里赚取更多的利润!我们已经连续赢得了7次选秀权,截止发稿时,我们已经赢得了10/11次选秀权。在意甲联赛中,最近的成绩也很稳定。我将很快发布更多关于大联盟的选择!拉齐奥目前排名第11位。他们的账户上有21分。他们的期望值(xPTS)是25.04。拉齐奥在意甲联赛中有16次进球,但他们的期望进球数(xG)为22.05。不可否认的事实是,他们这个赛季到目前为止令人失望。因此,我降低了它们的功率等级。他们目前在这个排名中排名第六,这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级,拥有最好的首发11人。博彩公司对他们迄今为止不稳定的表现反应过度。拉齐奥在比赛的各个方面都有很大的进步。我想提醒我的球迷,上赛季他们排在第二,落后于统治球队的那不勒斯。拉齐奥在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场。这场失利发生在周三欧冠小组赛最后一轮的客场。2比0是最后的比分,拉齐奥在这场比赛中处于劣势,在博彩市场上的胜率约为6.00。欧洲前10强之一的马竞确实应该获得胜利,但只产生了0.89英寸(xG)。拉齐奥取得0.65分。两队都有4次射门入球。拉齐奥轻松晋级欧冠季后赛,以10分的积分排名第二。在面对这一巨大挑战之前,这无疑是对他们的一大鼓舞。我想强调的是,拉齐奥在与马竞的比赛之前已经锁定了一个季后赛席位。在此之前,他们在客场与维罗纳打成1-1平。拉齐奥在上个赛季进球数为1.21,维罗纳为0.53。拉齐奥绝对应该得到全部三分!他们有71%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(14胜5负)、射正次数(5胜1负)、角球次数(7胜1负)、进攻和危险进攻。拉齐奥最近在主场表现非常强劲。事实上,他们在过去的10场比赛中没有输过一场,而且只有1/16的比赛是在奥林匹克球场进行的,他们热情而忠诚的球迷给了球员们巨大的鼓舞。我想强调的是拉齐奥在过去的10场主场比赛中赢了7场!

国际米兰目前以38分的积分排名意甲第一。他们是联盟中最好的球队,但差距并不明显。他们的xpt数量“只有”32.54个。他们打进了令人印象深刻的37球(xG) 31.98。国米只丢了7个球,毫无疑问他们的防守做得很好。然而,他们的xGA数量要大得多——12.04。我希望拉齐奥在面对一个强大的对手时能够更加防守。东道主也有强大的防守,只丢了16个球,他们的xGA是15.45。愚蠢的个人失误是相当罕见的,他们非常努力地争夺每一个球。国际米兰在最近的五场比赛中只赢了两场。在他们上一场欧冠对阵皇家社会的比赛中,他们没有进球。博彩公司对国米的胜率定在1.85左右,但没有进球。西班牙游客的得分略高于xG - 0.78-0.73。他们也有62%的控球率,创造了更多的角球(5-1)、总传球、完成传球、进攻(143-80)和危险进攻。在此之前,他们在主场以4比0击败了乌迪内斯。Tinter理应获胜,但最终的比分却令人误解。乌迪内斯有11次射门,国米有17次。当然,他们在这里是最受欢迎的,但又一次被最大的博彩公司明显高估了。拉齐奥有54%的机会拿到至少一分。拉齐奥+0.5个进球障碍选项再次获胜的赔率约为2.15 !

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