On Sunday night, 4 games in the Spanish La Liga are going to happen and one of the matches will be between Real Madrid and Villarreal. After 16 games, Real has 12 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, a total of 39 points and 2nd place while Villarreal has 4 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses, a total of 16 points and 13th place. In this game, I predict Real's win by at least a 2-goal margin.

Real finished the Champions League group stage with a win in Berlin over the local Union. They can now take a little break from the Champions League and have full attention to La Liga where they need to step up the game. In the last round, Real drew 1:1 on the road against Real Betis and they had just two shots on goal. Real plays well on the road overall but at home, they are much better with 6 wins and 1 draw in 7 games, with a total of 17 goals scored and just 3 conceded. Per xG, the team has the 4th-best xG at home, the 2nd-best xGA and the best xG difference.

Villarreal had a game on Thursday for the 1st place in the Europa League group and they beat Rennes 3:2 on the road although the score could have been 3:3 as the refs didn't count the last goal for the French team. It was Villarreal's first win in the last 4 games and they lost to Real Sociedad at home in the previous La Liga round. On the road this season, Villarreal has 2 wins and 3 draws in 7 games, with a total of 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. Per xG, Villarreal's xG of 7.5 is the 5th-worst, xGA is in the middle while the difference is the 7th-worst.

I'm going with Real and they should win at least by a 2 goal margin. If we look at their home results, 6 out of the last 7 games have ended by at least a 2-goal margin. While Villarreal has some wins and draws in La Liga away from home, they don't create a big xG and they should have lost some games if we look from xG perspective.

The motivation for Real should be high because they are in the 2nd place and they just can't allow to lose points at this stage of the season. They are the dominant force at home and they should beat the opponents comfortably.

周日晚上，西甲将进行4场比赛，其中一场是皇家马德里和比利亚雷亚尔。16场比赛结束后，皇马12胜3平1负，积39分排名第2，比利亚雷亚尔4胜4平8负，积16分排名第13。在这场比赛中，我预测皇马会以至少2球的优势获胜。

皇马以在柏林战胜当地的联盟队结束了欧冠小组赛。他们现在可以从欧冠联赛中休息一下，把全部注意力放在西甲联赛上，他们需要在那里加强比赛。在上一轮比赛中，皇马客场1:1战平皇家贝蒂斯，他们只有两脚射门。皇马在客场踢得很好，但在主场，他们在7场比赛中取得了6胜1平的成绩，总共进了17球，只丢了3球。按xG计算，球队主场xG排名第四，xGA排名第二，xG差排名第一。

比利亚雷亚尔在周四有一场争夺欧联杯小组第一的比赛，他们在客场3:2击败雷恩，尽管比分可能是3:3，因为裁判没有计算法国队的最后一个进球。这是比利亚雷亚尔在最近4场比赛中的首场胜利，他们在之前的西甲联赛中在主场输给了皇家社会。本赛季在客场，比利亚雷亚尔7场2胜3平，共进8球失10球。按xG计算，比利亚雷亚尔的xG为7.5，排在倒数第5位，xGA处于中间位置，两者之间的差距排在倒数第7位。

我支持皇马，他们应该至少赢2球。如果我们看看他们在主场的结果，最近7场比赛中有6场至少以2球的差距结束。虽然比利亚雷亚尔在西甲客场取得了一些胜利和平局，但他们并没有创造出一个大的xG，如果我们从xG的角度来看，他们应该输掉一些比赛。

皇马的动力应该很高，因为他们排在第二，他们不能在赛季的这个阶段丢分。他们是主场的主导力量，他们应该能轻松击败对手。