Athletic Bilbao is in great form, but if there's one team capable of beating them, it's Atletico Madrid.

Athletic is currently in 5th place in the table with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses (5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss at home). However, the majority of their recent opponents have been from the lower part of the table. They were previously outplayed by Real Sociedad (3:0) and suffered a 1:0 loss against Barcelona. Real Madrid also defeated them 0:2 in the first round. Against Girona, who is the current leader, drew 1:1. So far they have not been able to beat any team from the TOP6.

While their attack, especially with the Williams Brothers, is in excellent form, their defense lacks consistency and has been conceding too much lately, making them a entertaining yet unpredictable team. They have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven matches, conceding 10 goals.

Starting center-back Yeray is sidelined with a long-term injury, and key midfielder Ruiz de Galarreta will also miss this match due to an injury.

Athletic is coming off a disappointing 1:1 draw against Granada, where the team's performance plummeted in the second half, especially considering Granada's poor form (one place above the bottom with a record of 1 win, 5 draws, and 10 losses, conceding 36 goals). Despite scoring an early goal in a game that should have been dominated and win easily, they finally made a poor performance and suffered a draw.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid is in excellent form, ranking among the top teams in La Liga. Although they had some subpar performances in certain games (against Valencia, Barcelona, and Almeria in the second half), they have been performing consistently well. Moreover, the team has welcomed back several players from injuries, allowing them to rotate and reduce fatigue.

Currently sitting in third place in the table with a record of 11 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, and conceding 14 goals, Atletico's strength this season lies in their formidable attack. Griezmann and Morata are in exceptional form, scoring goals with ease and boasting a high conversion rate. Atletico has generated 27.4 expected goals but has scored 32, showcasing the quality and good form of their strikers.

I'm anticipating a classic high-pressure, intense, and fast-paced game from Athletic at home. Atletico, being a very intense team with excellent pace and physical rhythm, is fully capable of matching and competing in this match. Considering the squad quality, Atletico holds an advantage over Athletic, who tend to be more inconsistent.

In the previous season, Atletico won both encounters (1:0 and 0:1). This time, I see the matchup as at least a 50/50, if not slightly favoring Atletico.

毕尔巴鄂竞技状态很好，但如果有一支球队有能力击败他们，那就是马德里竞技。

竞技目前以8胜5平3负(主场5胜2平1负)的战绩排在积分榜第5位。然而，他们最近的大多数对手都来自积分榜的后半部分。他们之前被皇家社会(3:0)击败，并以1:0输给巴塞罗那。皇马也在首轮0:2击败了他们。对阵目前领先的赫罗纳，双方1:1战平。到目前为止，他们还没能击败TOP6的任何一支球队。

虽然他们的进攻，尤其是在威廉姆斯兄弟的帮助下，状态非常好，但他们的防守缺乏稳定性，最近丢球太多，使他们成为一支有趣但不可预测的球队。他们在最近的7场比赛中只保持了1场零封，丢了10个球。

首发中后卫耶雷因长期伤病缺阵，中场核心鲁伊斯·德加拉雷塔也将因伤缺席本场比赛。

竞技在与格拉纳达1:1战平后表现令人失望，球队在下半场的表现直线下降，特别是考虑到格拉纳达的糟糕状态(1胜5平10负，丢36球，排名垫底)。尽管在一场本应被控制并轻松取胜的比赛中早早取得进球，但他们最终表现不佳并遭遇平局。

另一方面，马竞的状态非常好，在西甲联赛中名列前茅。尽管他们在某些比赛中表现不佳(对阵瓦伦西亚、巴塞罗那和下半场的阿尔梅里亚)，但他们的表现一直很好。此外，球队还迎来了几名伤愈复出的球员，让他们能够轮转，减轻疲劳。

目前，马竞以11胜1平3负、丢14球的战绩排在积分榜第三位，本赛季马竞的优势在于强大的进攻。格列兹曼和莫拉塔的状态非常好，他们轻松进球，并且拥有很高的转化率。马竞创造了27.4个预期进球，但却打入了32球，展示了他们前锋的素质和良好状态。

我期待着一场典型的高压、激烈、快节奏的主场比赛。马竞是一支非常激烈的球队，拥有出色的速度和身体节奏，完全有能力在这场比赛中匹配和竞争。考虑到球队的实力，马竞比竞技更有优势，后者往往更不稳定。

在上个赛季，马竞赢得了两场比赛(1:0和0:1)。这一次，我认为这场比赛至少是50/50，如果不是稍微偏向马竞的话。