In my opinion Juventus have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.
Juventus have good streak against Genoa in Serie A as they won 5 of last 6 matches against them in league.
Obviously, there is big difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Juventus wants to win the tile and is on second place, Genoa wants to avoid relegation and now is 3 points above red zone.
I believe Juventus stability and consistency at the back will be very hard to break for Genoa. Guests kept clean sheet in 9 of 15 rounds and they do that against strong teams like Milan, Napoli, Atalanta or Fiorentina. They conceded only 9 goals (10.4 expected goals conceded). Juventus have second-best defensive formation in Serie A. On the other hand Genoa have huge troubles with creativity - according to the expected goals scored model they have bottom 3 offensive formation. They have the lowest number shots on target per game in whole Serie A. Genoa failed to score in last 2 league matches. I can imagine clean sheet for Juventus today.
Juventus should be able to score at least one goal - they scored 11 goals in 7 away matches so far (5 wins in the process). Yes, Genoa won 3 of 7 home matches so far, but two wins came against teams from relegation zone. In those 7 matches Genoa conceded 9 goals so their defensive formation is breakable, no doubt about that.
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在我看来,尤文图斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。
尤文图斯在意甲对阵热那亚的比赛中取得了不错的战绩,他们在最近的6场比赛中赢了5场。
显然,两支球队在实力、潜力和雄心方面都有很大的不同。尤文图斯想要赢得冠军,目前排名第二,热那亚想要保级,现在比红区高出3分。
我相信尤文图斯后防线的稳定性和稳定性对热那亚来说是很难打破的。客队在15轮比赛中有9轮没有失球,他们在对阵米兰、那不勒斯、亚特兰大或佛罗伦萨这样的强队时做到了这一点。他们只丢了9个球(预期丢了10.4个)。尤文图斯拥有意甲第二好的防守阵型,另一方面热那亚在创造力方面有很大的麻烦——根据预期进球数模型,他们的进攻阵型倒数第三。他们是整个意甲联赛场均射正次数最少的球队,热那亚在过去的两场联赛中都没有进球。我可以想象尤文图斯今天不会失球。
尤文图斯应该至少能进一球——他们在7场客场比赛中进了11球(其中5场获胜)。是的,热那亚到目前为止赢得了7场主场比赛中的3场,但两场胜利是对阵降级区的球队。在这7场比赛中,热那亚丢了9个球,所以他们的防守阵型是脆弱的,这是毫无疑问的。
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