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2023-12-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

12/15 01:45

已完赛

卢多戈雷
1:0
北西兰
解读理由:

Ludogorets Razgrad VS Nordsjaelland



Ludogorets host Nordsjaelland for this UEFA Europa League Conference League Group H clash at Huvepharma Arena very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. The Europa League Conference is the 3rd-highest of UEFA's club competitions. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty high level by the Conference League standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more profit here! We have won nine of the last 11 games betting on this competition! The hosts are a Bulgarian club – the visitors come from Denmark. The stakes are high! Indeed, the winner of the group earns  a ticket in the 1/8-finals. The team that finish in second place qualifies for the 1/16-finals. Fenerbahce currently occupy the third place in the standings with nine points to their account. The Bulgarian hosts, too, have grabbed nine points. They have netted the ball 10 times and have allowed 11 goals. The Turkish team have a score difference of 9:11. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. Fenerbahce are expected to beat a very limited team, Trnava – currently with just one point to their account - today. This means that none of the three teams are "safe" at all! Nordsjaelland have 10 points to their account. They are traditionally a strong team at home but have failed to impress on the road in international games in the past. Once again I want to highlight that the home advantage in international club games is often even bigger than the bookies realize. Ludogorets do not have the fanciest stadium but their fans are very loud and offer a gigantic boost to the players!

Let's not forget that last season Ludogorets challenged much bigger clubs, Italian AS Roma and  Spanish Real Betis very well in the Europa League despite finishing in third place! I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts' players have a bigger estimated market value than those of the visitors! Even so, the bookmakers see Ludogorets only as marginal favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.50-2.55 to send the visitors home empty-handed. I see them as more clear favourites! They are playing a pretty strong season in the Bulgaria Parva Liga, despite not being in first place now. They have been unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) in this league. I expect them to win the championship in the end. Nordsjaelland are not having a too strong season in the Danish Superliga – they are only in the 5th place with 27 points after 17 rounds of play. Yes, Copenhagen, the best team in Denmark, did qualify for the Champions League Playoffs, but Nordsjaelland are very far from their level in terms of pure class. Unlike many recreational bettors I will not be fooled to think that betting Danish teams – especially in away games – is suddenly a good idea.. We will take the hosts +0.5 goals handicap option here! Yes, the Danes beat Ludogorets 7-1(!) at home but it was a very weird game where the hosts had all the luck in the world on their side! The result probably still affects the odds here.. The final score is very misleading. Indeed, the visitors even recorded more goal attempts in this game.. I believe Ludo will be eager for a "revenge" here!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

卢多戈雷茨VS北荷兰



北京时间周五凌晨,卢多戈雷茨主场迎战北荷兰,参加欧联杯H组小组赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。欧洲联赛是欧足联第三高的俱乐部比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照联盟标准相当高水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的投注机会,可以在这里赚取更多的利润!我们在过去的11场比赛中赢了9场!东道主是一家保加利亚俱乐部,客队来自丹麦。赌注很高!事实上,小组冠军将获得1/8决赛的入场券。获得第二名的队伍有资格参加1/16决赛。费内巴切目前以9分排在积分榜第三位。东道主保加利亚也拿到了9分。他们共打进10球,失11球。土耳其队的比分是9:11。如果在比赛结束时得分相等,则进行肉搏赛。费内巴切今天有望击败一支实力有限的球队特尔纳瓦,目前他们只拿到一分。这意味着这三支队伍都不是“安全的”!北荷兰队有10分。传统上,他们在主场是一支强队,但在过去的国际比赛中却未能给人留下深刻印象。我想再次强调的是,在国际俱乐部的比赛中,主场优势往往比博彩公司意识到的还要大。卢多戈雷特没有最豪华的体育场,但他们的球迷非常大声,为球员提供了巨大的动力!

让我们不要忘记上赛季卢多戈雷茨在欧联杯上挑战了更大的俱乐部,意大利的罗马和西班牙的皇家贝蒂斯,尽管他们只获得了第三名!我还想提一下,根据德国一家知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主球员的估计市场价值比客队球员的估计市场价值要高!即便如此,博彩公司认为卢多戈雷特队在这里也只是个小热门——他们开出的赔率约为2.50-2.55,让访客空手而归。我认为他们更受欢迎!尽管他们现在不是第一名,但他们在保加利亚的帕尔瓦西甲联赛中打出了一个相当强劲的赛季。在这个联赛中,他们的期望积分(xPTS)一直很不走运。我希望他们最终能赢得冠军。北雅兰本赛季在丹麦超级联赛中表现不佳,经过17轮比赛,他们仅以27分排名第五。是的,哥本哈根,丹麦最好的球队,确实有资格进入欧冠季后赛,但就纯粹的水平而言,北荷兰离他们的水平还很远。不像许多娱乐投注者,我不会被愚弄,认为投注丹麦球队-特别是在客场比赛-突然是个好主意。我们将采取东道主+0.5球障碍选项在这里!是的,丹麦人在主场以7-1击败了卢多戈雷特队,但这是一场非常奇怪的比赛,东道主拥有世界上所有的运气!结果可能仍会影响这里的赔率。最后的分数很容易误导人。事实上,客队在这场比赛中甚至有更多的射门次数。我相信卢多会渴望在这里“复仇”!

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