In my opinion Copenhagen have really good chances to make at least one point in this game.
Bayern won this group. In last round they playing on the road against Manchester United and there is good possibility of their win again. On those circumstances one point here will be enough for hosts to make qualification into knock out stage. It’s big opportunity. It’s special moment for them and for sure atmosphere at Parken today will be amazing. Home ground advantage should make big difference today.
First match between both teams in Turkey finished with draw 2:2 and Copenhagen really not looked as a worse team. I believe they have all required tools to avoid loss today front of home crowd.
For me is very hard to trust for Galata on the road. They won only 3 of last 23 away matches in Champions League. They failed to win in qualies for current campaign against poor Zalgiris from Lithuania. Galata also had big troubles against Molde, they won by goal 90+3’, but match was very close: expected goals scored for Molde 1.59, for Galata 1.61. Of course, they won at Old Trafford against United, but team from Manchester is beatable for everyone at the moment.
Copenhagen at home is really hard nut to crack. In last 13 home matches in Champions League they lost only one time, against superb Bayern (1:2). That was a bit unlucky outcome as they had a lead in that game and according to the expected goals scored model that was very close game: expected goals scored for Copenhagen 0.87, for Bayern 0.88. In previous season Copenhagen didn’t lost at home in Champions League group stage against Sevilla, Borussia and Manchester City (!!!). Twice they kept clean sheet in those matches. In last round Copenhagen avoided loss on the road against Bayern (0:0) and goalkeeper Grabara looked very good. I believe he is the best Copenhagen player, he have a lot of confidence and this is perfect moment to shine for him. I’m sure he will give absolutely everything to keep clean sheet and he is able to do it.
On those circumstances I don’t see Galata as a favorite in this game.
在我看来,哥本哈根有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。
拜仁赢得了小组第一。上一轮他们客场对阵曼联,他们很有可能再次获胜。在这种情况下,东道主只要得一分就足以晋级淘汰赛阶段。这是一个巨大的机遇。这对他们来说是一个特殊的时刻,今天在Parken球场的气氛肯定会很棒。主场优势今天应该会起很大作用。
两队在土耳其的第一场比赛以2:2的平局结束,哥本哈根看起来并不差。我相信他们都有必要的工具来避免今天在主场观众面前的损失。
对我来说很难相信加拉塔在路上。他们在最近的23场欧冠客场比赛中只赢了3场。他们未能在预选赛中战胜来自立陶宛的可怜的扎尔基利斯。加拉塔在对阵莫尔德的比赛中也遇到了很大的麻烦,他们以90+3取胜,但比赛非常接近:莫尔德的预期进球为1.59,加拉塔为1.61。当然,他们在老特拉福德赢了曼联,但是现在每个人都可以击败来自曼彻斯特的球队。
主场的哥本哈根真的是一块难啃的硬骨头。在过去的13场欧冠主场比赛中,他们只输了一场,对手是实力强大的拜仁(1:2)。这是一个有点不幸的结果,因为他们在那场比赛中领先,根据预期进球数模型,这是非常接近的比赛:哥本哈根的预期进球数为0.87,拜仁为0.88。在上个赛季的欧冠小组赛中,哥本哈根没有在主场输给塞维利亚、博尔西亚和曼城(!!)在这两场比赛中,他们有两次没有失球。在上一轮比赛中,哥本哈根避免了客场对阵拜仁(0:0)的失利,门将格拉巴拉的状态非常好。我相信他是哥本哈根最好的球员,他有很多自信,这是他闪耀的完美时刻。我相信他会尽一切努力保持不失球,他有能力做到这一点。
在这种情况下,我不认为加拉塔是这场比赛的热门。