More PROFIT from Spain? ¥¥¥ 西甲 巴列卡诺VS塞尔塔
2023-12-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

12/12 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Rayo Vallecano VS Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD


Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo for this Spanish La Liga round 16 clash at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in Madrid early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of average level by the La Liga standards here.. However, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity to extend the good run betting on this league here! Most of my fans are probably by now aware of the fact that I never let the standings fool me! This is very important in profitable sports betting. Celta Vigo have been one of the unluckiest teams in terms of expected points (xPTS) in the top-4 leagues in the world this season. Indeed, they have only nine points in their pocket. However, I want to highlight that their number of xPTS is 23.09! With this number of points they would be in 9th place! They have scored 15 goals in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 26.33. In this area of the game they have a very clear edge over the hosts. They have allowed 25 goals which is definitely more than I would have expected in my preseason analysis. However, they have improved in this area of the game significantly from the first 5-6 rounds of play. The visitors' number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 22.01. Most importantly, they can improve further. With the expected lineups in this game the teams are more or less equal in terms of defensive class. The hosts have allowed 22 goals in La Liga and their xGA is 23.56. They have 19 points to their account but have been somewhat lucky in terms of xPTS. I would not be at all surprised if they were to drop down in the standings during the rest of the season.

According to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors are clearly the better team. Their squad has an estimated market value of around 118 million euros. This is still too low in my expert opinion. At least three players are undervalued. The hosts' players have a market value of only around 83 million. This is more or less a fair number - and a small one by the La Liga standards! Rayo Vallecano have not been able to defeat the visitors in any of the last five games between the two teams! The teams last locked horns in March and Celta took a dominant 3-0 win at home. Celta have been in pretty good form lately. Indeed, they have lost just one of their last six games. They have played too many draws this season – often allowing a late goal. Once they learn to defend better late into the game - and stop being unlucky they will take much more points! The hosts have won just one of their last five games. This win came in the Copa del Rey ( The Spanish Cup) 2-0 as huge favourites over a very lowly opponent.. Before this they were quite disappointing in many games! Celta are solid favourites here!



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巴列卡诺VS维戈塞尔塔


北京时间周二凌晨,巴列卡诺雷约主场迎战维戈塞尔塔,他们将在马德里的巴列卡斯足球广场迎战西甲16强。这是世界上第二好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以西甲标准衡量的平均水平的比赛。然而,我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会来延长这个联赛的良好运行投注!我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到,我从不让排名欺骗我!这在盈利的体育博彩中非常重要。本赛季,维戈塞尔塔在世界排名前四的联赛中,以期望积分(xPTS)计算是最不走运的球队之一。事实上,他们的口袋里只有9分。但是,我想强调的是,他们的xPTS数量是23.09!以这样的积分,他们将排在第9位!到目前为止,他们在联赛中已经进了15个球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)是26.33。在比赛的这个方面,他们比东道主有非常明显的优势。他们丢了25个球,这肯定比我在季前赛分析中预期的要多。然而,在最初的5-6轮比赛中,他们在这方面有了很大的进步。客队的预期进球(xGA)“只有”22.01个。最重要的是,他们可以进一步提高。在这场比赛的预期阵容中,两支球队在防守水平上或多或少是平等的。东道主在西甲联赛中丢了22球,xGA为23.56。他们的账户上有19分,但在xPTS方面有些幸运。如果他们在本赛季剩下的时间里排名下滑,我一点也不会感到惊讶。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com,客队显然是更好的球队。据估计,这支球队的市值约为1.18亿欧元。在我的专家看来,这仍然太低了。至少有三名球员被低估了。东道主球员的市场价值只有8300万美元左右。这或多或少是一个公平的数字——以西甲的标准来看,这是一个小数字!巴列卡诺在两队之间的最近五场比赛中都没能击败客队!两队上一次交锋是在三月份,塞尔塔在主场3-0取得了压倒性的胜利。塞尔塔最近状态不错。事实上,他们在过去的六场比赛中只输了一场。他们本赛季打了太多的平局——经常在最后时刻让对方进球。一旦他们在比赛后期学会更好地防守,并且不再不走运,他们就会得到更多的分数!东道主在最近五场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利是在国王杯(西班牙杯)中以2比0的比分战胜了一个非常卑微的对手。在此之前,他们在许多比赛中都令人失望!塞尔塔是最受欢迎的球队!

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