A GREAT match to bet on! ¥¥¥ 意甲 恩波利VS莱切
2023-12-11

Tapio

外籍分析师

意甲

12/12 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Empoli VS Lecce


Empoli welcome Lecce for this Italian Serie A round 15 battle at Stadio Carlo Castellani early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty level by the Serie A standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity to extend the good run betting on the Serie A here! Both teams started the season with the main goal of avoiding relegation to the Serie B. However, Lecce have been surprisingly good this season – especially in the early season. Indeed, the visitors currently occupy the 13th place in the standings. They have a total of 16 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little lower though.

Lecce have a clear edge over Empoli in all areas of the game. They have netted the ball a respectable 16 times in this league so far. Their defence, on the other hand, has been better than offense. Indeed, they have allowed only 19 goals. For example AC Milan, a big team that even play in the UEFA Champions League at the moment, have allowed 18 goals. Milan are currently in 3rd place in the league table. Lecce have declined from early season but that was fully expected as their resources are limited. Empoli, too, are a small team by this league's standards. Lecce have now played three draws in a row. In their last game they faced Bologna at home. It was a 1-1 draw. However, Lecce recorded more goal attempts – 14-11. Moreover they generated more than the visitors in expected goals (xG) – 1.56-0.88 to be precise.

Empoli are having a difficult and disappointing season. Well, I did not expect as much from them as the betting market on average did. They have only 11 points in their pocket and are in the 17th place. They are at big risk of being relegated. Their offense has been pathetic this season! Indeed, they have netted the ball just nine times in the Serie A! Furthermore, their defence has been shaky and silly individual mistakes are common. They have allowed 26 goals, which is the second-highest number in the Serie A. They have been the worst team at home in this league this season. Indeed, they have lost five of the seven games at Stadio Carlo Castellani. Their score difference at home is 4:11. Their fans are also not great by Italian standards. Yes, the home advantage is still there but it is not substantial! They have lost three times and won just once in their last five games. In their last game they were lucky to get a point away from home against Genoa. Indeed, the hosts recorded 21 goal attempts – Empoli managed only nine. The hosts also generated more in xG. Before this their defence was extremely vulnerable and poorly organized and lost to Sassuolo 3-4 at home. The visitors recorded many more goal attempts and created much more in xG – 2.78-1.12. The bookies see the hosts as solid favourites – offering them odds of around 2.60 to take all three points. I strongly disagree! Based on my expert analysis, Lecce deserve to be the narrow favourites! We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option!



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恩波利VS莱切


北京时间周二凌晨,恩波利将在卡洛卡斯泰拉尼球场迎来与莱切的意甲第15轮比赛。这是世界上第四好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场按照意甲标准相当高水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有另一个非常有趣的投注机会来延续在意甲的良好运行!两支球队本赛季开始时的主要目标都是避免降级到乙级。然而,莱切本赛季表现出奇的好,尤其是在赛季初期。事实上,客队目前排名第13位。他们的账户上总共有16分。不过,它们的期望值(xPTS)略低一些。

莱切在比赛的各个方面都明显领先恩波利。到目前为止,他们在这个联赛中已经有16次进球了。另一方面,他们的防守比进攻好。事实上,他们只丢了19个球。比如AC米兰,一支现在甚至还在欧冠赛场上的豪门球队,就丢了18个球。米兰目前在联赛中排名第三。莱切的表现从赛季初开始有所下降,但这是完全可以预料到的,因为他们的资源有限。按照联赛的标准,恩波利也是一支小球队。莱切队现在已经连续打了三场平局。上一场比赛他们在主场面对博洛尼亚。双方1比1战平。然而,莱切的进球次数更多,14胜11负。此外,他们在预期进球(xG)上比客队多——准确地说是1.56-0.88。

恩波利正经历一个艰难而令人失望的赛季。嗯,我对他们的期望没有博彩市场平均水平高。他们现在只拿到11分,排在第17位。他们很有可能被降级。他们这个赛季的进攻太可怜了!事实上,他们在意甲联赛中只有9次进球!此外,他们的防守一直不稳固,愚蠢的个人失误很常见。他们已经丢了26个球,这是意甲第二高的数字,他们是本赛季联赛主场表现最差的球队。事实上,他们在卡洛·卡斯特拉尼球场的七场比赛中输掉了五场。他们在主场的比分差是4:11。以意大利的标准来看,他们的球迷也不是很好。是的,主场优势仍然存在,但并不明显!在最近的五场比赛中,他们输了三场,只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们很幸运地在客场对阵热那亚时拿到了一分。事实上,东道主有21次射门,而恩波利只有9次。主机也生成了更多的xG。在此之前,他们的防守非常脆弱,组织得很差,在主场3-4输给了萨索洛。客队在xG - 2.78-1.12的比赛中有更多的进球尝试和创造机会。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队,他们给出了2.60的赔率来获得全部三分。我强烈反对!根据我的专家分析,莱切应该是微弱的热门!我们将采用+0.5个进球的障碍选项!

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