In my opinion Empoli have bigger chances than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH on home side looks like very good safe to play.

Empoli have good mental advantage before this game as they didn’t lost against Lecce in last 4 matches and recorded two consecutive wins against them front of home crowd.

Empoli had horrible start of the season – 5 losses in 5 opening matches. Coach Andreazzoli came to the club at the end of September and improvement is visible, no doubt about that. Empoli is not in relegation zone anymore. In overall they plays much better than results shows. Empoli scored 9 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 14. They conceded 26 goals, but according to the expected goals model they should concede 20.8. It’s big difference. I like what I saw from them in last matches. 4 points in last 3 rounds. They recorded huge win on the road against title defender Napoli (!!!). They lost at home against Sassuolo, but that was very unlucky as they conceded goal from penalty in additional time. In last round Empoli avoided loss on the road against Genoa so they coming for this game in good mood.

On the other hand Lecce is very poor on the road – they failed to win in all 6 away matches in current season. For sure they coming for this game without big confidence as they failed to win in last 10 Serie A matches. Lecce is very unstable at the back – they conceded at least one goal in last 10 matches in a row (more than one in 4 of last 5). Today they are without second-best scorer Almqvist so looks like guests will have problems at both ends of the pitch.

On those circumstances I see excellent chances for Empoli to produce positive result front of home crowd.

在我看来恩波利的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。主场+0 AH看起来很安全。

恩波利在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势，他们在过去的4场比赛中没有输过莱切，并且在主场取得了两连胜。

恩波利本赛季开局糟糕，5场首场比赛输了5场。主教练安德烈亚佐利在9月底来到了俱乐部，毫无疑问，球队的进步是显而易见的。恩波利已经不在降级区了。总的来说，他们比结果显示的要好得多。恩波利进了9个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进14个。他们丢了26个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该丢20.8个球。差别很大。我喜欢他们在上几场比赛中的表现。最后3轮4分。他们在客场战胜了卫冕冠军那不勒斯(!!)他们在主场输给了萨索洛，但那是非常不幸的，因为他们在加时赛中点球失球。上一轮恩波利避免了客场对阵热那亚的失利，所以他们带着良好的心情来参加这场比赛。

另一方面，莱切在客场表现很差，他们本赛季6场客场比赛无一胜。可以肯定的是，他们没有太大的信心来参加这场比赛，因为他们在过去的10场意甲比赛中都没有获胜。莱切在后防线上非常不稳定——他们在最近10场比赛中至少丢了一个球(最近5场比赛中超过4场)。今天他们没有了第二射手阿穆奎斯特，所以看起来客队在球场两端都会遇到问题。

在这种情况下，我认为恩波利有很好的机会在主场观众面前取得积极的结果。