In my opinion Manchester City is clear favorite of today's match up and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2-3 goals difference. -1.5 AH on away side looks like great option to play.

Manchester City is already 7 points behind Liverpool, this is 'must win' game for Citizens, no doubt about that. Luton are league newcomers and Manchester City have to win such matches against lower rank opponents without any excuses if they wants to defend title. Citizens won 13 of last 14 Premier League matches against newly-promoted sides. Guests best striker Haaland scored 9 goals in 8 such matches. He should be able to score some goals today, Luton have one of the worst defensive formation in Premier League - they are still without clean sheet in current season and conceding 2 goals per game. Luton conceded 7 goals in last two matches and I see again at least 2-3 goals for Citizens.

Manchester City have huge motivation to bounce back on good track, they failed to win in last 4 Premier League matches. Coach Guardiola is very disappointed and he wants to see big reaction today, in his managerial career he never failed to win in 5 matches in a row.. In last matches guests played without Rodri (their best player according to the ratings). Without him Manchester City failed to win in 8 of last 9 matches, but with him on the pitch they won 33 of last 43 (!!!). He should be real game changer on the pitch today.

If City is able to keep clean sheet? I see good possibilities. According to the expected goals conceded model they have second-best defensive formation in whole league, on the other Luton had less than 0.92 expected goals scored in last 6 consecutive Premier League matches.

I can't imagine any other result than routine win for guests, probably 'to nil'.

在我看来，曼城在今天的比赛中是最受欢迎的，他们应该能够以至少2-3球的优势轻松取胜。客场1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

曼城已经落后利物浦7分了，毫无疑问，这是一场必须赢的比赛。卢顿是联赛的新人，曼城如果想卫冕冠军，就必须在这样的比赛中战胜排名较低的对手，没有任何借口。在过去的14场英超比赛中，市民队赢了13场。客队最佳前锋哈兰德在8场比赛中打入9球。他今天应该能进一些球，卢顿的防守阵型是英超最差的之一——他们本赛季还没有零封对手，场均丢2球。卢顿在最近两场比赛中丢了7球，我再次看到公民队至少有2-3个进球。

曼城有巨大的动力回到正轨，他们在过去的4场英超比赛中未能获胜。瓜迪奥拉教练非常失望，他希望今天看到巨大的反应，在他的执教生涯中，他从来没有赢过5连胜。在过去的比赛中，客人没有罗德里(根据评分，他们最好的球员)。没有他的曼城在过去的9场比赛中有8场没有获胜，但是有他在场的曼城在过去的43场比赛中赢了33场(!!)他今天应该是球场上真正的比赛改变者。

如果曼城能够保持零封?我看到了很好的可能性。根据预期失球模型，他们的防守阵型在整个联赛中排名第二，另一方面卢顿在最近的6场英超比赛中预期进球不到0.92。

我想象不出任何结果，除了常规的胜利，可能是“零比零”。