In my opinion Stuttgart have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Last match between both teams at this stadium in May finished with draw 1:1.

Stuttgart don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Leverkusen best assistant Wirtz is probably out today because of ankle injury.

Both teams with at least 30 points after 13 rounds. In Bundesliga history all teams with this amount of points at this stage finished season in top5. So we have match up of potential top5 teams. Leverkusen is leader of the table, still without a loss in current season, but if You look deeper Stuttgart plays better.

According to the expected goals scored model Stuttgart should score 32.8, Leverkusen 'only' 26.9. According to the expected goals conceded model Stuttgart should concede 13.0, Leverkusen 12.4.

Stuttgart coming for this game in impressive form, they won last 5 matches in all competitions. Hosts form front of home crowd is top class - 6 wins in 7 home league matches (currently 5 home wins in a row in all competitions).

Stuttgart coach Hoeness said: "Leverkusen don't give you many opportunities, but we've identified one or two areas where we can make use of the ball. It's difficult to trouble them when they're in possession. We have to think about whether we limit their space at the back or go for it at the other end. It might make sense to do something in between. Leverkusen are the only team in Europe who haven't lost yet this season. Trying to become the first team [to beat them] is a fun task. It's going to be hard enough, but we're going to try. We're confident of upsetting them at home in front of our fans."

I see value on home side here.

在我看来，斯图加特有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。

两队五月份在这个球场的最后一场比赛以1:1的平局结束。

斯图加特没有任何新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。勒沃库森的最佳助理维尔茨今天可能会因为脚踝受伤缺席比赛。

两队在13轮比赛后都至少得到30分。在德甲历史上，所有在这个阶段获得这么多积分的球队都进入了赛季前5名。所以我们有潜在的前五名球队的比赛。勒沃库森是积分榜上的领头羊，本赛季还没有输过一场，但如果你看得更深入一些，斯图加特的表现会更好。

根据预期进球数模型，斯图加特应该进32.8球，勒沃库森只有26.9球。根据预期失球模型，斯图加特应该失球13.0，勒沃库森应该失球12.4。

斯图加特以令人印象深刻的状态来迎接这场比赛，他们在所有赛事中赢得了最近5场比赛。东道主在主场的表现是顶级的——在联赛的7场主场比赛中取得了6场胜利(目前在所有比赛中都取得了5连胜)。

斯图加特教练赫内斯说:“勒沃库森没有给你很多机会，但我们已经确定了一两个可以利用球的地方。”当他们拥有财产时，很难去打扰他们。我们必须考虑是限制他们在后面的空间，还是在另一端争取空间。也许在这两者之间做点什么是有意义的。勒沃库森是欧洲唯一一支本赛季没有输过球的球队。试图成为第一支(击败他们)的球队是一项有趣的任务。这已经够难的了，但我们还是要试试。我们有信心在主场球迷面前击败他们。”

我看到了主场的价值。