In my opinion Everton have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Everton have good mental advantage before this game as they didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches against Chelsea. Everton went unbeaten in 5 of last 6 matches against Chelsea at Goodison Park.

Both teams coming for this game in totally different mood. Everton won 3 of last 4 matches (last two "to nil"). They coming here full of confidence as they won in last match 3:0 at home against strong Newcastle. On the other hand Chelsea failed to win in 3 of last 4 matches. In each game they conceded more than one goal. In last match they lost on the the road against Manchester United and that was fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Manchester United 4.17 (!!!), for Chelsea 1.52.

10 points deduction for Everton, but they are already outside relegation zone. Impressive job done by Sean Dyche, no doubt about that. What is even more interesting - Chelsea have 19 points, so without deduction Everton would be higher in Premier League table now.

I really don't see Chelsea as fav of this game. Everton won 8 of last 12 matches in all competitions. Chelsea lost 17 league matches this year, it's more than in 2021&2022 together! In addition to that, they failed to win in 7 of last 8 away league matches played at Sunday.

I see great value on home side.

在我看来，埃弗顿在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

埃弗顿在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势，因为他们在最近4场对切尔西的比赛中3场未输。埃弗顿在古迪逊公园球场对切尔西的6场比赛中有5场保持不败。

两支球队带着完全不同的心情来看这场比赛。埃弗顿在最近4场比赛中赢了3场(最近两场是“0比0”)。他们带着信心来到这里，因为他们在上一场主场3:0战胜了强大的纽卡斯尔。另一方面，切尔西在最近4场比赛中有3场没有获胜。每场比赛他们都丢了不止一个球。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场输给了曼联，这是一个完全应得的结果:曼联的预期进球数为4.17(!!)，切尔西为1.52。

埃弗顿被扣掉10分，但他们已经脱离了降级区。肖恩·戴奇干得不错，这是毫无疑问的。更有趣的是，切尔西已经积了19分，如果不扣分，埃弗顿在英超的排名会更高。

我真的不认为切尔西会喜欢这场比赛。埃弗顿在过去的12场比赛中赢了8场。切尔西今年输掉了17场联赛，比2021年和2022年加起来还多!除此之外，他们在周日进行的最近8场客场联赛中有7场未能获胜。

我看到了主场的巨大价值。