I don't agree with the market
2023-12-10

Przem

外籍分析师

意甲

12/10 19:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Frosinone have all required tools to avoid loss in today's match up.

After 14 rounds of Serie A, there is only one point difference between both teams in league table.

Since start of October Frosinone looks very solid - they played 5 matches in all competitions and recorded 3 wins and 2 losses. They lost twice on the road - against super strong teams: Inter & Milan so no shame at all. In last round they lost 1:3 against Milan on the road, but match was closer than scoreline can suggest: expected goals scored for Milan 1.17, for Frosinone 0.72 (they finished with more shots and higher % of ball possession!). Now they coming back to home where they are superb so far. Frosinone recorded 5 wins in 7 matches front of home crowd and scored 14 goals in the process.

Is hard to trust for Torino on the road - they already recorded 4 losses on the road and conceded 11 goals in 7 away matches. Torino today have 4 important players unavailable/very doubtful: Linetty, Schuurs, Radonjic, Pellegri. All of them played at least 9 matches in current season so that should have very bad impact on guests performance today.

Torino is simply overrated in those lines offered by bookies. Value is on home side here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,弗罗西诺内已经具备了在今天的比赛中避免失利的所有必要手段。

经过14轮的意甲联赛,两队在积分榜上的差距只有1分。

自10月初以来,弗罗西诺内看起来非常稳定,他们在各项赛事中打了5场比赛,取得了3胜2负的成绩。他们在客场输了两次,对手是超级强队:国际米兰和米兰,所以一点也不丢人。上一轮,他们客场1比3输给了米兰,但比分并不像数据所显示的那样接近:米兰的预期进球数为1.17,弗罗西诺内的预期进球数为0.72(他们射门次数更多,控球率更高!)现在他们回到了家乡,在那里他们是一流的。弗罗西诺内在主场的7场比赛中取得了5场胜利,进了14个球。

在客场的都灵很难被信任——他们已经在客场输了4场,在7场客场比赛中丢了11球。今天的都灵有4名重要的球员不能上场或非常不确定:莱内蒂,舒尔斯,拉多尼奇,佩莱格里里。他们都在本赛季至少打了9场比赛,所以这应该会对今天的客人表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在那些赌注中,都灵被高估了。这里的价值在主场。

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