In my opinion Chelsea have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Chelsea coming for today's match with almost best possible line up, they are only without one player - midfielder Kovacic is unavailable, but this is not big problem. On the other hand Real Madrid is without two key defenders Mendy & Ramos and without two important midfielders Vazquez and Valverde. That should have bad impact on their performance today.

3 official matches between both teams in past and Chelsea never lost against Real Madrid. I believe they have really good chances to continue that streak today.

Chelsea played 8 times in their history in Champions League semifinals and only once they lost opening match at this stage. In last 10 Champions League matches between teams from England and Spain only one win was recorded by Spanish clubs.

I'm much more convinced by Chelsea level at the moment - since Tuchel came to club they didn't lost in 19 of 21 matches (in both games motivation wasn't on the highest possible level..). In 21 matches with Tuchel on the bench Chelsea kept clean sheet 16 times(!). Defensive formation works on top level, but they have quick, dangerous players upfront and against tired, depleted Real defense one goal should be enough to take something from today's match. Tuchel played 4 times as a manager against Real Madrid in Champions League and he never lost.

Of course, Real is on the good streak as well - Champions League semis, chances for title in La Liga, but in my eyes they don't have too much left in the tank. In last matches creativity was a problem as they failed to score in 3 of last 4 matches. For sure that not will be easy to do against extremely consistent Chelsea defensive formation.

I expect tight match, but I believe freshness and defensive formation should make difference here.

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在我看来，切尔西在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免失败。

切尔西带着最好的阵容来参加今天的比赛，他们只缺了一名球员——中场科瓦奇不能上场，但这不是大问题。另一方面，皇马失去了两名关键后卫曼迪和拉莫斯，也失去了两名重要的中场巴斯克斯和巴尔韦德。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生不良影响。

两队在过去的三场正式比赛中，切尔西从未输过皇家马德里。我相信他们今天有很好的机会延续连胜。

切尔西在欧冠半决赛的历史上打了8场比赛，只有一次输掉了首场比赛。在最近10场英格兰和西班牙之间的欧冠比赛中，只有一场胜利是由西班牙俱乐部记录的。

我现在更相信切尔西的水平——自从图切尔来到俱乐部，他们21场比赛中有19场没有输(两场比赛的动力都没有达到最高水平)。在21场图切尔坐在替补席上的比赛中，切尔西有16场没有失球。防守阵型是顶级的，但是他们有快速，危险的球员，对抗疲惫，耗尽的皇马防守，一个进球应该足以从今天的比赛中得到一些东西。图切尔在欧冠联赛中担任主教练4次对阵皇家马德里，而且从未输过球。

当然，皇马也有不错的表现——欧冠半决赛，西甲冠军的机会，但在我看来，他们已经没有多少剩余了。在上一场比赛中，创造力是一个问题，因为他们在近4场比赛中有3场没有进球。当然，这对于切尔西稳定的防守阵型来说并不容易。

我期待激烈的比赛，但我相信体力储备和防守阵型会在这里发挥作用。