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2023-12-08

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Dinamo Bucuresti VS FC Otelul Galati


U. Craiova host FCSB for this Romanian Cup round 3 clash at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in Bucharest early Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of high level by Romanian standards. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! Both teams play in the Liga 1, the first tier of Romanian football. FCSB currently top the Liga 1 standings. They have taken a total of 37 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 33.02 to be precise. They have netted the ball 31 times in the Liga 1 but their number of expected goals (xG) is lower – 27.11 to be precise. I do not have them in the first place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class. They have allowed 18 goals and do have some defensive weaknesses. Their defenders sometimes make really silly defensive mistakes. The hosts have allowed too many goals this season - 33 to be precise. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much lower – 26.12. Moreover, they have improved defensively from the early season.

Both teams have taken one draw and won one game in the Romanian Cup so far. FCSB do have a genuine chance of winning the Liga 1 and I expect that to be their main focus this season. Even heavy squad rotation by their coach would not be a surprise here. They have not been in great form lately. Indeed, they have taken a win in only two of their most recent seven games. In their last game they were very disappointing – losing to Otelul 0-2 at home as very clear favourites according to the bookies. Here the bookies see them as slim favourites but this is not correct. Taking the substantial home advantage, the probably bigger motivation and squad rotation into account, I see the hosts as narrow favourites here. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Their season in the Liga 1 has been a disappointment but they can improve a lot and should be very eager to do well in the cup. In their last two games they have taken one win at home and suffered a defeat away from home.



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布加勒斯特迪纳摩VS加拉蒂


北京时间周五凌晨,罗马尼亚杯第三轮比赛将在布加勒斯特的奥布莱门科球场举行,克拉约瓦主场迎战FCSB。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场符合罗马尼亚标准的高水平比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!两支球队都参加了罗马尼亚甲级联赛。FCSB目前在西甲联赛中排名第一。他们一共得了37分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)较低,准确地说是33.02。他们在西甲联赛中有31次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)更低,准确地说是27.11个。在我的能量评级中,它们不是第一位的。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹水平。他们丢了18个球,防守上也有弱点。他们的后卫有时会犯一些愚蠢的防守错误。东道主本赛季失球太多了——准确地说是33个。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)要低得多,为26.12。此外,他们的防守也比赛季初有所提高。

到目前为止,两队在罗马尼亚杯上各取得一场平局和一场胜利。FCSB确实有机会赢得联赛冠军,我希望这是他们本赛季的主要关注点。即使他们的教练进行了大量的阵容轮换,也不会让人感到意外。他们最近状态不佳。事实上,他们在最近的七场比赛中只赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们非常令人失望——在主场0-2输给了奥特鲁尔,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是非常明显的夺冠热门。在这里,博彩公司认为他们的胜算不大,但这是不正确的。考虑到巨大的主场优势,可能更大的动力和阵容轮换,我认为东道主在这里有微弱的优势。我们将采用+0.5目标障碍选项。他们本赛季的联赛表现令人失望,但他们可以提高很多,应该非常渴望在杯赛中取得好成绩。在最近的两场比赛中,他们在主场取得了一场胜利,在客场遭遇了一场失利。

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