12月07日曼联 VS 切尔西比赛分析直播
9：英超精选2串1！
18：曼联vs切尔西，英超一场
解读理由：
In my opinion Chelsea have bigger chances to win than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH looks like super safe option to play, I don't see home win at all.
Is hard to trust for United at the moment, even at Old Trafford - they lost 3 of last 5 home matches in Premier League. Looks like they are nervous front of home crowd, especially at the start as they failed to score in first half in 6 of 7 home league matches so far. On the other Chelsea slowly moving in good direction, even on the road. They won in 3 of last 4 away matches in Premier League.
United defensive formation don't have any stability at the moment, since end of October they conceded 3 goals against Manchester City, 4 goals against Copenhagen, 3 goals against Newcastle or 3 goals against Galatasaray.. Wingers Rashford and Garnacho almost not working in defense and that should be very problematic today. Players like James or Sterling have all required tools to make a lot of damage on the both sides.
In previous season Rashford was United top scorer, but now he have big problems with scoring - only 2 goals in 18 matches, but coach Ten Haag making questionable decisions. Rashford feels the best on the left side, but in last round he played on right side and looked like shadow of his self.. He failed to score in all 10 matches at Old Trafford so far.
Ok, United is higher in league table than Chelsea, but they are not better team. According to the expected goals scored model Chelsea producing 2.10 expected goals scored per game, United only 1.50. According to the expected goals conceded model Chelsea producing 1.38 expected goals conceded per game, United 1.80. Difference is huge and that should visible on the pitch today.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，切尔西获胜的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。+0 AH看起来是一个超级安全的选择，我根本没看到主场赢球。
现在对曼联来说很难信任，即使是在老特拉福德，他们在最近的5场英超主场比赛中输掉了3场。看起来他们在主场观众面前很紧张，特别是在开始的时候，因为他们到目前为止7场主场比赛中有6场上半场没有进球。另一方面切尔西慢慢地向好的方向移动，甚至在路上。他们在英超最近4场客场比赛中赢了3场。
曼联的防守阵型目前没有任何稳定性，自从10月底以来，他们对曼城丢了3球，对哥本哈根丢了4球，对纽卡斯尔丢了3球，对加拉塔萨雷丢了3球。边锋拉什福德和加纳乔几乎没有在防守中发挥作用，这在今天将是一个很大的问题。像詹姆斯或斯特林这样的球员都有必要的工具在两边制造很大的伤害。
在上个赛季，拉什福德是曼联的头号射手，但现在他在进球方面遇到了很大的问题——18场比赛只进了2球，但教练海牙做出了有问题的决定。拉什福德在左路感觉最好，但上轮他在右路踢球，看起来就像他自己的影子。到目前为止，他在老特拉福德的10场比赛中都没有进球。
好吧，曼联在联赛排名上比切尔西高，但他们并不是更好的球队。根据预期进球数模型，切尔西场均预期进球数为2.10，而曼联只有1.50。根据预期失球模型，切尔西场均预期失球1.38个，曼联场均预期失球1.80个。差异是巨大的，这在今天的球场上应该是显而易见的。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。