How many goals they will score today?
2023-12-05

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

12/06 04:15

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Arsenal is clear favorite of this game and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals difference. -1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.


I see huge difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Arsenal is title contender, Luton is relegation material. That should be visible on the pitch today.


Arsenal loves to control the game, especially against such lower rank opponents like Luton and I expect full dominance in the middle zone from the Gunners. When Luton played at home against Liverpool one month ago, had only 26% ball possession. I can imagine similar scenario today.


Is hard to see goals for Luton. They failed to score only once in last 5 rounds, but if You look deeper – they have serious problems with creativity: in last 5 matches in a row they had expected goals scored number below 0.92. At the weekend they looked horrible against Brentford – only 0.23 expected goals scored. Arsenal have the best defensive formation in Premier League and they have all required tools to keep clean sheet against Luton today.


On the other hand Luton is extremely unstable at the back – they failed to keep clean sheet in last 18 matches in a row. Is hard to imagine clean sheet for them today, Arsenal offensive formation coming for this game in full flow – they scored 8 goals in last 2 matches in 7 days period. In addition to that, Luton have serious squad problems at the back. Two defenders Lockyer and Mengi left the pitch in last game against Brentford and are very doubtful for this game. Two other key defenders Burke and Andersen are still unavailable. In those circumstances I see minimum 2 goals for Arsenal today.


0:2/0:3 is my call here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,阿森纳显然是这场比赛的热门,应该能够以至少2球的差距轻松获胜。客场1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。


我看到了两支球队在质量、潜力和雄心方面的巨大差异。阿森纳是冠军争夺者,卢顿是降级的料。这在今天的球场上应该是显而易见的。


阿森纳喜欢控制比赛,尤其是面对像卢顿这样的低级别对手,我希望枪手能在中区完全占据统治地位。一个月前,当卢顿主场对阵利物浦时,他们只有26%的控球率。我可以想象今天类似的情景。


卢顿很难进球。在最近的5轮比赛中,他们只有一次没有进球,但如果你深入研究一下,你会发现他们在创造力方面存在严重问题:在最近的5场比赛中,他们的预期进球数低于0.92。在周末对阵布伦特福德的比赛中,他们看起来很糟糕,只有0.23个预期进球。阿森纳拥有英超最好的防守阵型,他们今天在对阵卢顿的比赛中都有保证不失球的必要手段。


另一方面,卢顿的后防线极不稳定,他们在过去的18场比赛中都没能保持不失球。很难想象他们今天能不失球,阿森纳的进攻阵型正在为这场比赛全力以赴——他们在过去的7天里进了8球。除此之外,卢顿在后防线上也有严重的问题。两名后卫洛克耶和孟吉在上一场对布伦特福德的比赛中离场,这场比赛能否上场非常令人怀疑。另外两名关键后卫伯克和安德森仍然缺阵。在这种情况下,我认为阿森纳今天至少能进2球。


0:2, 0:3是我说了算。

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