In my opinion Lazio have really good chances to make win in today’s match up and get qualification into next round.

Lazio coming for this game in great mood. They won two matches in a row, both front of home crowd and they wants to go with momentum today. Lazio achieved their big goal – they qualified into knock out stage in Champions League. They recorded convincing 2:0 win against Celtic (expected goals scored for Lazio 2.34, for Celtic 0.35). At the weekend Lazio produced another fully deserved win, this time against Cagliari (expected goals scored for Lazio 1.95, for Cagliari 0.56). Situation in Serie A is good as they are only 4 points behind 4th Napoli and this is great opportunity to make deep run in Coppa Italia (Lazio made 7 wins in this competition in past).

Lazio looked rock solid at the back in last two matches and for me is hard to see easy goals for Genoa today. Guests coming for this game without their best scorer Gudmundsson (he scored 33% of Genoa goals in Serie A). It’s big blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

In overall Lazio is stronger team than Genoa. Difference between both teams should visible on the pitch today, especiall at Lazio stadium. Lazio went unbeaten in last 9 home matches, on the other hand Genoa is one of the worst away team in whole Serie A. They lost 5 of 7 away league matches and conceded 10 goals in the process.

On those circumstances I see good chances for hosts to continue good streak front of home crowd.

在我看来，拉齐奥在今天的比赛中有很好的机会取得胜利并晋级下一轮。

拉齐奥带着很好的心情来参加这场比赛。他们连续赢了两场比赛，都是在主场观众面前，他们今天想要带着势头走下去。拉齐奥实现了他们的大目标——他们进入了欧冠淘汰赛阶段。他们以令人信服的2:0战胜凯尔特人(拉齐奥预期进球数2.34，凯尔特人预期进球数0.35)。周末，拉齐奥取得了另一场完全应得的胜利，这次是对阵卡利亚里(拉齐奥的预期进球数为1.95，卡利亚里为0.56)。意甲的情况很好，他们只落后第4的那不勒斯4分，这是在意大利杯上取得长进的好机会(拉齐奥在过去的比赛中取得了7场胜利)。

拉齐奥在前两场比赛的后防线上看起来坚如磐石，对我来说今天热那亚很难轻松进球。客人们来看这场没有他们最好的射手古德蒙森(他在意甲为热那亚贡献了33%的进球)的比赛，这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

总的来说拉齐奥比热那亚强。两队之间的差异将在今天的球场上显现出来，尤其是在拉齐奥球场。拉齐奥在最近的9场主场比赛中保持不败，而热那亚则是整个意甲联赛中客场表现最差的球队之一，他们在联赛的7场客场比赛中输掉了5场，丢了10个球。

在这种情况下，我认为东道主有很好的机会在主场观众面前继续保持良好的势头。