More PROFIT from Germany? 德甲 奥格斯堡VS法兰克福
2023-12-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

德甲

12/04 02:30

已完赛

解读理由:

FC Augsburg VS Eintracht Frankfurt


Augsburg welcome Frankfurt for this German Bundesliga round 15 clash at WWK Arena early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league’s standards here. Frankfurt currently occupy the 7th place in the league table. They have a total of 18 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 16.78 to be precise. They have been rather disappointing lately. In their most recent game they lost to PAOK at home in an UEFA Europa Conference League clash at home. 1-2 was the final score. Frankfurt were clear favourites in his game on the betting priced – priced around 1.50 to take all three points. Yes, they did have 58% ball possession and recorded more shots on target (7-5) but did not impress me at all. They generated only marginally more than the Greek visitors in expected goals (xG) – 1.32-1.30 to be precise. Now they have had only two full days to recover and prepare for this challenging game. This is far from optimal in professional football. Indeed, I believe the bookies are not giving this factor enough emphasis.

Before losing to PAOK the visitors lost to Stuttgart at home after a somewhat disappointing performance. Again their defense looked surprisingly vulnerable. The hosts, on the other hand, have not lost any of their last six games! They have looked very confident on the pitch recently. They have a total of 14 points in their pocket but their number of expected points is 17.11 Even so, the hosts are slightly the better team by pure class. Taking the massive home advantage into account Augsburg should be slim favourites here. We will take the +0.5 goals handicap on the hosts.



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奥格斯堡VS法兰克福


北京时间周一凌晨,德甲第15轮奥格斯堡将在WWK球馆迎战法兰克福。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。法兰克福目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有18分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)较低,准确地说是16.78。他们最近相当令人失望。在最近的一场欧联杯比赛中,他们在主场输给了PAOK。1比2是最后的比分。在他的比赛中,法兰克福显然是最受欢迎的,他的投注价格在1.50左右,可以获得全部三分。是的,他们的控球率是58%,射正的次数也更多(7-5),但这一点都没有给我留下深刻印象。在预期进球数(xG)上,他们仅略高于希腊客队——准确地说是1.32-1.30。现在他们只有整整两天的时间来恢复和准备这场具有挑战性的比赛。这在职业足球中远非最佳状态。事实上,我认为博彩公司没有给予这个因素足够的重视。

在输给PAOK之前,客队在主场以令人失望的表现输给了斯图加特。他们的防守又一次显得出奇地脆弱。另一方面,东道主在过去的六场比赛中没有输过一场!他们最近在球场上看起来很有信心。他们总共拿到了14分,但他们的预期积分是17.11,即便如此,从纯粹的水平来看,东道主还是稍微好一点。考虑到巨大的主场优势,奥格斯堡在这里应该是微弱的热门。我们将对东道主采取+0.5个进球的不利条件。

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